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What are the odds? (mere please :))

MADMOOMADMOO Member Posts: 1,687
edited February 2010 in Poker Chat

Never seen this before, just wondering what the odds where of this

PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
MrWh1te Small blind  150.00 150.00 14075.00
MADMOO Big blind  300.00 450.00 3622.50
  Your hole cards
  • A
  • Q
     
ricky1978 Call  300.00 750.00 4742.50
BRADSHAW34 Fold     
Tasman Fold     
bert947 Fold     
MrWh1te Raise  1350.00 2100.00 12725.00
MADMOO All-in  3622.50 5722.50 0.00
ricky1978 All-in  4742.50 10465.00 0.00
MrWh1te Call  3542.50 14007.50 9182.50
MrWh1te Show
  • Q
  • A
   
MADMOO Show
  • A
  • Q
   
ricky1978 Show
  • Q
  • A
   
Flop
   
  • 7
  • 6
  • 4
     
Turn
   
  • 5
     
River
   
  • 6
     
MrWh1te Win Pair of 6s 5042.50  14225.00
MADMOO Win Pair of 6s 3922.50  3922.50
ricky1978 Win Pair of 6s 5042.50  5042.50
happening.

Comments

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    ACBRO67ACBRO67 Member Posts: 86
    edited February 2010
    player 1 to hit an ace 4/52....and then a Q 4/51

              2                   3/50                       3/49

              3                   2/48                       2/47

              4                   1/46                       1/45

    SO the odds are 4X4X3X3X2X2X1X1 DIVIDED BY

    52X 51X50X49X48X47X46X45=   576/YOU WORK IT OUT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!...LOL

    think im right anyhoooos!!!!
  • Options
    MADMOOMADMOO Member Posts: 1,687
    edited February 2010
    Thank you for the reply :)
  • Options
    hurst05hurst05 Member Posts: 1,567
    edited February 2010
    bet you were hating it when you had 2 callers behind haha
  • Options
    MereNoviceMereNovice Member Posts: 4,364
    edited February 2010
    In Response to Re: What are the odds? (mere please :)):
    player 1 to hit an ace 4/52....and then a Q 4/51           2                   3/50                       3/49           3                   2/48                       2/47           4                   1/46                       1/45 SO the odds are 4X4X3X3X2X2X1X1 DIVIDED BY 52X 51X50X49X48X47X46X45=   576/YOU WORK IT OUT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!...LOL think im right anyhoooos!!!!
    Posted by ACBRO67
    I don't think so.
    AQ is the same hand as QA so the odds are significantly lower than this ... but still very high!  :-)

    For this (i.e. 4 players of 6 seated to have the same hand pre-flop) to happen with AQ specifically, I'd say that the odds are:

    8/52 * 4/51 * 6/50 * 3/49 * 4/48 * 2/47 * 2/46 * 1/45 * 360
    This is about  9 million to 1.

    (As always, I'm happy to be corrected).
     
  • Options
    MADMOOMADMOO Member Posts: 1,687
    edited February 2010

    Wow, thank you mere. MrWh1te was the player after the hand asking what the odds where, hopefully he will see this thread. Thank you again for taking the time to work this out :)

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    MADMOOMADMOO Member Posts: 1,687
    edited February 2010
    In Response to Re: What are the odds? (mere please :)):
    bet you were hating it when you had 2 callers behind haha
    Posted by hurst05
    Yeah definitely thought I was beat, nice surprise when we all turned over AQ.
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    Tikay10Tikay10 Member, Administrator, Moderator Posts: 161,097
    edited February 2010

    Wow, that IS a rare one!

    I saw a weird one at DTD the other week.

    TWO players got it all-in, both had A-Q.

    The Flop came K-J-T, so both of them flopped the nuts.

    The Turn was an A, the River was a Q, so the Board ran out A-K-Q-J-T - so both players were, in effect, playing the Board.
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    Seagull158Seagull158 Member Posts: 1,100
    edited February 2010
    In Response to Re: What are the odds? (mere please :)):
    In Response to Re: What are the odds? (mere please :)) : I don't think so. AQ is the same hand as QA so the odds are significantly lower than this ... but still very high!  :-) For this (i.e. 4 players of 6 seated to have the same hand pre-flop) to happen with AQ specifically, I'd say that the odds are: 8/52 * 4/51 * 6/50 * 3/49 * 4/48 * 2/47 * 2/46 * 1/45 * 360 This is about  9 million to 1. (As always, I'm happy to be corrected).  
    Posted by MereNovice
    Its only 3 players with AQ isnt it?
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    loonytoonsloonytoons Member Posts: 4,270
    edited February 2010
    In Response to Re: What are the odds? (mere please :)):
    In Response to Re: What are the odds? (mere please :)) : Its only 3 players with AQ isnt it?
    Posted by Seagull158
    How do you know, another player may have folded an AQ preflop lol
  • Options
    MereNoviceMereNovice Member Posts: 4,364
    edited February 2010
    In Response to Re: What are the odds? (mere please :)):
    In Response to Re: What are the odds? (mere please :)) : Its only 3 players with AQ isnt it?
    Posted by Seagull158

    Oops. Well spotted. I should have looked at the Hand History more closely rather than following on from the initial response.
    OK, the odds of 3 people having AQ are:

    8/52 * 4/51 * 6/50 * 3/49 * 4/48 * 2/47 * 120
    This is about 26,507 to 1.
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