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Running Well?
HAYSIE
Member Posts: 37,989
Can I fold this?
| Player | Action | Cards | Amount | Pot | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAYSIE | Small blind | 150.00 | 150.00 | 33600.00 | |
| lJAMESl | Big blind | 300.00 | 450.00 | 28522.50 | |
| Your hole cards |
| ||||
| smellbl1nd | Fold | ||||
| ILIKE2FISH | Fold | ||||
| Sharki0 | Raise | 600.00 | 1050.00 | 6540.00 | |
| HAYSIE | Call | 450.00 | 1500.00 | 33150.00 | |
| lJAMESl | Call | 300.00 | 1800.00 | 28222.50 | |
| Flop | |||||
| |||||
| HAYSIE | Check | ||||
| lJAMESl | Check | ||||
| Sharki0 | Check | ||||
| Turn | |||||
| |||||
| HAYSIE | Bet | 900.00 | 2700.00 | 32250.00 | |
| lJAMESl | Raise | 2400.00 | 5100.00 | 25822.50 | |
| Sharki0 | Fold | ||||
| HAYSIE | Raise | 6450.00 | 11550.00 | 25800.00 | |
| lJAMESl | All-in | 25822.50 | 37372.50 | 0.00 | |
| HAYSIE | Call | 20872.50 | 58245.00 | 4927.50 | |
| HAYSIE | Show |
| |||
| lJAMESl | Show |
| |||
| River | |||||
| |||||
| lJAMESl | Win | Full House, 10s and 9s | 58245.00 | 58245.00 | |
Comments
Unpleasant spot but feels like we shouldn't stack off in this hand personally, especially given how deep we are.
James' small raise size after your bet looks nutted to me - would he really go that small with a hand like T8 or A10 on a board like that?
When we 3-bet and then get 4-bet shoved, what worse hands are you putting him on? Would trips put all those chips in there? Doubt it.
Personally, my preferred line would probably be to call the raise and then call a river bet unless it's massive/overbet. If he bets a smaller size on the river, we could consider a small raise if you think he could have trips.
As played though, I would probably find fold to the shove (albeit easy to say that in hindsight!)
Interested to know what others think.
Personally flat the 2400 on turn vs someone who is clearly capable of bluffing and again IF they are bluffing we allow them to continue betting on the river instead of forcing them out of the pot and telling them we have a real hand - with the intention of check calling the river and if they have it we lose the minimum and extract the maximum when they are getting giddy.
Play on the flop is standard. It's the Turn that is tricky. Easy to say when we can see the opponent's cards that the 6450 raise is a mistake. But the upside (without seeing the cards) is that there may well be a lot of 10x hands that want to see a River card. When we should be charging them now for that.
I'd like to think I would have got away from this cheaper, either by flatting the 2400 or folding to the shove. But I am not sure that I would.
I had this identical scenario v the eventual winner at SPT Vegas a few years ago. Where I folded to the shove. And have wondered ever since whether I did the right thing...
Flatting the 2,400 makes sense.
Then check calling a river bet within reason, not calling a shove, would have still left me a decent stack.
To give this a bit of context, the guy shoves 4 hands on the bounce.
First this.
And this happens.
This.
I get the last few in and get 4 callers.