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Bubble Turbo DYM - Call or Fold

MP33MP33 Member Posts: 6,239
edited March 2017 in The Poker Clinic
£10 Turbo DYM - Do i call with a chance to finish game but leave myself the shortie if i lose

Reads - The all in player generally doesn,t just shove with any 2 here and pretty sure i,m behind

(Liam is well ahead with about 3k and thrifty has 700 odd - still over 1 minute to go on blinds)

PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
xxxxxxSmall blind 200.00200.00610.00
MP33Big blind 400.00600.001160.00
 Your hole cards
  • 8
  • J
   
liam262915Fold    
tiftyFold    
xxxxxAll-in 610.001210.000.00
MP33Fold    
xxxxxxMuck    
xxxxxxWin 800.00 800.00
xxxxxxReturn 410.000.001210.00
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    Lambert180Lambert180 Member Posts: 12,197
    edited March 2017
    Stone wall call here imo.

    By folding you literally give them a double up without them even seeing a flop.

    If we call we're probably gonna win the DYM there and then ~40% of the time. The rest of the time we are still in the running anyway. At these blind levels I don't think there's a huge difference between us having 1100 and 900. SB now has us outchipped anyway just by us folding.
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    HENDRIK62HENDRIK62 Member Posts: 3,162
    edited March 2017

    I not convinced this is a clear cut call.

    If he calls and loses he is down to 750 chips not 900. If he passes here and passes sb he still has 960.

    I think this is a horrible (and all too common spot), my guess is that its very close, would be interested if someone ran the numbers.


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    waller02waller02 Member Posts: 9,022
    edited March 2017
    Yeah I misread the hand at first and thought why have you even posted such a clear call. Once I realised that you have to call 410 not 210 it became a much closer decision.

    Agree with Hendrik, tough spot. I think I call though.
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    Lambert180Lambert180 Member Posts: 12,197
    edited March 2017
    Ah yeah I misread too, I was thinking villian had 610 total so we had to call off an extra 210 which would leave us 950 if we lost.

    It is deffo a lot closer given that info. I think given that we can fold and have 1160 left and it's on the bubble with one person on 700 chips, I'd say it's gone the total other way now and think it's a clear fold.
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