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River action?
RyanC7
Member Posts: 355
The opponent here is a reg at 50nl. Much of his game (from my history with him) is preflop. He rarely calls, 3bets and 4bets alot and rarely plays oop. From the limited info I have on him, he seems good.
On the flop I decided to check raise the KK2 board as from his perspective there are a few Kings in my preflop calling range. Although the sizing is poor (should be 7-8ish I guess). On the turn what do you think of his re raise? I thought he never has AK here he raises flop everytime? I also think he raises flop with k10-kq??? He could also be flatting with 2s to keep bluffs in ? He could also have AA? Do you agree with these thoughts? I decided to flat his raise on the turn also to keep his bluffs in as when he reps that turn hes going to be betting the river regardless right? He is a very aggressive player so I thought he was capable of bluffing but when this river card drops it puts me in a tricky situation. He either has AA 22 K10-q or AIR. More realistically AA, 22 or air???? Thoughts ? What do you do on this river??
Hand History #623010208 (16:47 16/02/2013)
| Player | Action | Cards | Amount | Pot | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RyanC7 | Small blind | £0.25 | £0.25 | £75.80 | |
| britrock | Big blind | £0.50 | £0.75 | £64.66 | |
| Your hole cards |
| ||||
| hhamza162 | Fold | ||||
| nugget1000 | Call | £0.50 | £1.25 | £24.46 | |
| X | Raise | £1.50 | £2.75 | £67.35 | |
| RyanC7 | Call | £1.25 | £4.00 | £74.55 | |
| britrock | Fold | ||||
| nugget1000 | Call | £1.00 | £5.00 | £23.46 | |
| Flop | |||||
| |||||
| RyanC7 | Check | ||||
| nugget1000 | Check | ||||
| X | Bet | £2.00 | £7.00 | £65.35 | |
| RyanC7 | Raise | £5.50 | £12.50 | £69.05 | |
| nugget1000 | Fold | ||||
| X | Call | £3.50 | £16.00 | £61.85 | |
| Turn | |||||
| |||||
| RyanC7 | Bet | £8.00 | £24.00 | £61.05 | |
| X | Raise | £22.00 | £46.00 | £39.85 | |
| RyanC7 | Call | £14.00 | £60.00 | £47.05 | |
| River | |||||
| |||||
| RyanC7 | Check | ||||
| X | All-in | £39.85 | £99.85 | £0.00 | |
| ???? | |||||
Comments
If you'd flopped top-trips on a KK2 board, are you really going to try to push out all of your opponent's bluffs by 3-betting the flop? Do you really just hope that you've coolered someone holding the case King?
If I have AK on this flop and I'm check-raised, I'm probably flatting against 90% of opponents. Why would I want to chase away the value? Are we so terrified of flush draws?
I don't play NL50 but I can think of only two regs at that level whom I would even consider calling against. You have to go with your reads on your opponent. Most aren't capable of bluffing in this spot.
By the way, even if I did think my opponent was capable of bluffing here, I'd have to also think that they believed my check on the river could never be a King and they are very confident I'm capable of folding a flush. It's a very unlikely bluff and I'm not sure it would be a good call even if you caught him this time because he has to be bluffing nearly 30% of the time for the call to be break even.