This was from a session i was playing earlier and i was going through my losing hands and this was the top one, when i flopped the set i figured i was ahead by a long way, so i gave a free card. This the first point i think i should've done differently on a board with a flush draw on it, but also the turn he bets and i call, should i be raising on this spot even though the turn looks like a blank, as i'm never putting anyone calling my raise with 3-2os. Finally the river, i figured i have to call here as i'm not putting him on a hand thats beating me at all, at most i'm putting him on a set of fours made on the turn possibly maybe even 5's on the river.
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalanceFreeFlopSmall blind £0.02£0.02£4.53bp01Big blind £0.04£0.06£1.01draper1991Big blind £0.04£0.10£3.41 Your hole cardsAA dre136Fold lozelle05Call £0.04£0.14£4.01draper1991Check Dav56Raise £0.16£0.30£3.14FreeFlopFold bp01Call £0.12£0.42£0.89lozelle05Fold draper1991Call £0.12£0.54£3.29Flop A9J bp01Check draper1991Check Dav56Check Turn 5 bp01Check draper1991Bet £0.16£0.70£3.13Dav56Call £0.16£0.86£2.98bp01Fold River 4 draper1991All-in £3.13£3.99£0.00Dav56All-in £2.98£6.97£0.00draper1991Unmatched bet £0.15£6.82£0.15draper1991Show32 Dav56ShowAA draper1991WinStraight to the 5£6.30 £6.45
Comments
This is actually a great flop for us to value bet because it hits so many hands in our opponents' ranges. If we think about the types of hands that people like to play, they're hands like two high cards, pocket pairs and suited connectors.
The two high cards are most likely and of those, hands like JT, QT, QJ and KJ have all hit while hands like KQ and KT are also gut shots that might call us. So betting gets value on this flop from all of those hands. If they're holding diamond suited connectors they'll call or perhaps even raise on this flop. If they're playing a hand that has missed like a low pair or low cards without diamonds, we don't lose any value by betting because they won't put more money in at any stage anyway (unless a miracle happens) so we don't need to worry about those. Obviously, if our opponent is holding a hand such as J9 or AJ, he's likely to stack off to us on this flop but might get scared if a bad card such as a diamond hits on the turn.
We also have to be aware that as the pre-flop raiser, it's expected of us that we will continuation bet. When we don't it can make other players suspicious, especially if we don't then fold to later aggression. If we then choose to raise a later street, it makes it look as though we flopped so big that we didn't want to bet and risk others folding.
So bet the flop for value. The three worst things that can happen by missing this bet are:
1) A card comes that scares our opponent into folding a hand that would have given us value on the flop. This could be a one or two-pair hand being scared by a diamond or a Ten. It could also be a draw that misses on the turn and doesn't want to call with just one card to come.
2) We allow a hand to catch up for free, such as a flush or straight.
3) We allow a scare card to come for our hand and end up folding the best hand.