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What is the right play... for once and for all
smileychop
Member Posts: 124
Right, this is a hand that i'm really not sure if I made the right play. its at an early stage in a £1.05 Heads Up against a sometimes tight player... I knew he had a flush draw after the flop, and knowing this, I call his all in, with my top pair, king kicker... is this the right move at this stage?
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalances Small blind 15.00 15.00 1365.00 smileychop Big blind 30.00 45.00 1590.00 Your hole cards J K s Raise 75.00 120.00 1290.00 smileychop Raise 180.00 300.00 1410.00 s Call 120.00 420.00 1170.00 Flop 3 J 8 smileychop Bet 180.00 600.00 1230.00 s All-in 1170.00 1770.00 0.00 smileychop Call 990.00 2760.00 240.00 s Show K 10 smileychop Show J K Turn A River A s Win Flush to the Ace 2760.00
Comments
If we know he has a flush draw, of course we should call.
easy way to work out percentage to win a hand is outs times 4 on the flop and on the turn it's times 2.
therefore he had a 36% (9 x 4) chance of winning the hand when the money went in on the flop. so you're 64% fav.
when the turn gave him 3 more queens as outs for the straight plus the remaining diamonds he had 12 outs giving him a 24% (12 X 2) chance to win the hand on the river. so you were 76% fav on the turn.
That methods not exact as it's normally out by a percent or 2 but gives you a rough idea.
ps this sort of post should go in the poker clinic
As it is, you have a big hand heads-up here and should certainly call. It's unlucky that he got there but that happens. He had decent equity when the money went in but you were the favourite so that's what you should focus on.
You made the correct decision but perhaps not on the back of ideal reasoning.
In terms of the players range, i didnt really know that either. i think this was only about the 15th hand i had with this player and the only read i got was that he was a tight player. so i was fairly certain it was not a bluff or 2nd or 3rd pair when he is going all in. (perhaps i need to improve on looking at what the players range is)
so heres another question... i know he hit his flush but did he make the right decision going all in at this early stage with a flush draw, when he could of folded/called with still quite a reasonable stack?