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ICC Champions Trophy
splashies
Member Posts: 3,680
Been chatting with JJ about potential bets for this. I'll leave him to write a detailed preview of how the tournament will pan out.
My bets for interest, are as follows,
Windies Tournament Winners £6 @ 9/1
Warner Top Aus Bat
Perera Top SL Bat
R.Taylor Top NZ Bat
£2 treble returns £260
Yadav Top Ind Bowl
Dw.Bravo Top WI Bowl
Malinga Top SL Bowl
£2 treble returns £165
Over to you JJ 
Comments
Alright, well I could pretty much just +1 the opening posts, as my bets are (will be) almost identical.
West Indies are incredible value here, I think the bookies have fluffed this one!
Match winners all the way down the Windies line up, Gayle, Smith, Pollard, Bravo, Narine being the 5 that spring to mind.
Back that up with Darren Bravo, Sarwan, Roach, Rampaul, even the captain Sammy can win the game for them with the bat, that's like 11 match winners!!!
Johnson Charles opening the batting is an unknown at this level but comes in with a massive rep of being an explosive hitter.
The only position they're 'carrying' is the wicket keeper. Ramdin aint bad either and scored big runs last summer when Windies were in England.
Max bet Windies ftw @ 9/1!!! (3/1 to make the final)
Have also picked the same bowling trio as splashies, Yadav for India ripped through the Aussies yesterday. He bowls quick, and is their 'go to' strike bowler.
India as always have tonnes of bowling options and will likely share the wickets around with their bit-part spinners, Yadavs 5 at the top and 5 at the end give him every chance of picking up the most wickets. Good price too.
Malinga is the obvious pick for Sri Lanka, clearly their stand out bowler, bowls 5 of the last 10 at the death again when runs and wickets are plentiful. No brainer.
Bravo is just back from being the IPLs top wicket taker. He was v hard to hit at the death, will likely bowl the majority of his 10 overs in the batting powerplay (normally the 35-40th overs) and then at the end again when the slog is on. Wickets cetain to fall.
Pretty high variance market these, as 1 golden spell can swing it, but these 3 look solid picks.
Yadav/Malinga/Bravo top wicket taker treble @ whatever price u can get !
(Yada is kind of a gamble here, if you want lower variance stuff/bigger stake, exclude him and go with the nailed on Malinga/bravo double)
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'Top team batsman' market again very high variance, probably more so than the bowlers markets, just because there's more realistic candidates to win per team.
Have gone with just 1 of splashies' picks here with ross taylor, he's got runs in every innings so far this tour, and hasn't yet gone on to get the big 1.
Outside of BMac (who bats too low) he's their best player by a mile, and will likely get in around the 10th over when their fragile top order fails again.
He's got to be the value bet.
Disagree strongly with David Warner top scoring for the Aussies, he's had a really poor IPL, comes into this comp with no form.
Boring, but I'm gonna go with Shane Watson, who's gtd runs. He had an awesome IPL yet again, is incredibly consistant in ODIs and has scored a hatfull of runs in English conditions.
Also think he's key to the Aussies chances, they have won the last 2 ICC champs trophies. If they're to win again he needs to score big runs. Coz I doubt anyone else will!
Perera for SL is a good pick @ 4/1. Just think it's too much of a lottery with their 'big 3' of Dilshan, J'wardene and S'kara. All 3 coming into the comp off the back of poor IPLs but all pretty experienced/good in English conditions and surely 1 of them has to come good.
4/1 is decent value though.
My 3rd pick to complete the treble would be Kohli for India.
Coming off an awesome IPL, and smashed 150 not out in the first warmup game for this comp.
He's going to bat at 3 and have every chance to score huge runs. I personally think this is a pretty strong Indian line up, especially batting. Although they're been written off and described as the worst Indian ODI team of the last 20 years!
Think they may surprise a few 'experts'.
Taylor/Kohli/Watson top team batsman treble @ ???/1 !
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Will fill the prices in when I put the bets on later today.
gl all!!!!!!!!!!
K, cba editing op, just put the bets on.
£18 on WI outright @ 17/2
ugh, quid on the other 2 bets (trebles), cnt seem to find the price in my bet history tho.
Ladbrokes site is terrible.
Glitchy!!!!!
Either way, sweats are all on! gl us!
Fridays game WI v SA is now effectively a QF.
Weather forecast looks horrific though.
Need to look into the rules properly, but I'm pretty sure there's no reserve day, and if the game is washed out, it's 1 point each and SA will go through with a better net run rate. which sux balls.
Not really sure how to go about it, but I'll prob have to lay the £38 @ 8/1 off for maybe my money back/a small loss.....
May be posting for some help with this tonight/tomorrow morning when the outright market prices go back up.
fu rain. & fu Ravi Jadeja.
Can't believe it.
Sums up how I'm running atm.
Would have got those comfortably.
Unbelievable Jeff.