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Bubble boy again
jams88
Member Posts: 694
This hand led to effectively being bubble boy thoughts on the river here
Calling turn as i think he leads flop with a draw obviusly 1 just completed hso trying to pot control able to call pretty much anything on river then the shove should i be able to get away?
Calling turn as i think he leads flop with a draw obviusly 1 just completed hso trying to pot control able to call pretty much anything on river then the shove should i be able to get away?
| Player | Action | Cards | Amount | Pot | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| snellie40 | Small blind | 400.00 | 400.00 | 6567.50 | |
| TripleG | Big blind | 800.00 | 1200.00 | 15955.00 | |
| Your hole cards |
| ||||
| rob2334 | Fold | ||||
| snakebit | Fold | ||||
| jams88 | Raise | 1600.00 | 2800.00 | 15737.50 | |
| snellie40 | Fold | ||||
| TripleG | Call | 800.00 | 3600.00 | 15155.00 | |
| Flop | |||||
| |||||
| TripleG | Bet | 800.00 | 4400.00 | 14355.00 | |
| jams88 | Raise | 2400.00 | 6800.00 | 13337.50 | |
| TripleG | Call | 1600.00 | 8400.00 | 12755.00 | |
| Turn | |||||
| |||||
| TripleG | Bet | 1600.00 | 10000.00 | 11155.00 | |
| jams88 | Call | 1600.00 | 11600.00 | 11737.50 | |
| River | |||||
| |||||
| TripleG | All-in | 11155.00 | 22755.00 | 0.00 | |
| jams88 | Call | 11155.00 | 33910.00 | 582.50 | |
| TripleG | Show |
| |||
| jams88 | Show |
| |||
| TripleG | Win | Straight to the King | 33910.00 | 33910.00 | |
Comments
1) I've raised pre and he's called (so he at least semi-likes his hand)
2) He's donk lead into the flop min bet which means he's hit the flop in some manor
3) He's called the raise and not shoved over so i'd expect you to be ahead. Id have to put him on a weaker pair or draw.
4) He then leads again the turn (not min bet). To me he's made it clear hes not going to fold and i'd be wondering what he could possibly have.
5) As played he shoves river.... he's seen you raise pre, reraise a flop and is still willing to stick the lot in. IMO itd be a tough fold but look at the evidence and the only hands youre beating are probably K10 or possibly J10.
But i'd probably be losing my stack on the turn as id raise flop a bit more to stack him on the turn so....
still trying to decide if i should be going broke here or we can consider folding
how to get away from it
well if you reraised on the turn and he again calls and leads on the river, then you can fold
but with only 10bigs this may be just too nitty by far, unless your goal is only to mincash
if you are playing to win then raising more on the flop, as gazza suggests is probably the way to go
As played on the flop, I'd be shoving the turn. This Ten only brings in gut-shot draws which can't be too likely given the pre-flop and flop action. AQ surely 3-bets pre-flop facing a button raise, so Q9 is the only hand that's likely with the pre-flop action. That's just one hand and even that would seem unlikely after the flop action. TT is also unlikely for the same reasons - no pre-flop 3-bet and the call on the flop.
So I'd be thinking that if I was ahead on the flop, I'm very likely to still be ahead on this turn. The same is true on the river since the 3 changes nothing.
When he shoves the river I think he can have weaker two-pairs, overvalued top-pairs, 55 or possibly even a random bluff since it's a pot-sized shove (dependent on reads on this opponent, of course). Those are all more likely than a straight, which you may consider but should weight less heavily in your thoughts. The river is a call against that range.
Raise a touch bigger on the flop, to perhaps 3.6k, and get it in on the turn. If your opponent has 55 or has played Q9 this way you're just unlucky.
Don't include results in future. I think some of the responses here are results oriented.