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3 All ins before sitting with pocket Aces on Sky! Nevermind the first hand of WSOP

LARSON7LARSON7 Member Posts: 4,494
edited June 2013 in The Poker Clinic
Wonder what the odds are Aces will hold here!




RaguRy Small blind  20.00 20.00 2850.00
LARSON7 Big blind  40.00 60.00 2630.00
  Your hole cards
  • A
  • A
     
jan1965 All-in  960.00 1020.00 0.00
olly0901 All-in  2910.00 3930.00 0.00
shazza1957 Fold     
suesandy Fold     
RaguRy All-in  2850.00 6780.00 0.00
LARSON7 All-in  2630.00

Comments

  • craigcu12craigcu12 Member Posts: 3,962
    edited June 2013

    if the hands were  what you expect then i would say you stand a good chance because they are probably chasing one of the two remaining cards that give a set.
    i sometimes think myself AA will be more likely to loose to suited connectors J10 or smaller which which neither of your aces are part of

  • profman15profman15 Member Posts: 1,808
    edited June 2013
    hi sir

    Well the equity v AA     AKo   TT      KK  for thisexample  scenario would be
                                68.5   3.67  18.2   9.67%   
    so you still win 2 out of 3 times 

    a very similar one happened to my AA v three other all-ins. In that case the Ten hit. c'est la vie!!

    PS if you replaced AKo with 87s then the equitie would be  51.7%, 17.5, 13.1, 17.7 so yes the suited connectors affect the chance of your AA winning significantly for obvious reasons. putting different suits for the pairs affect it slightly obviously
  • LARSON7LARSON7 Member Posts: 4,494
    edited June 2013
    RaguRy Show
    • 9
    • 9
       
    LARSON7 Show
    • A
    • A
       
    jan1965 Show
    • 10
    • 8
       
    olly0901 Show
    • Q
    • J
       
    Flop
       
    • Q
    • K
    • 9
         
    Turn
       
    • A
         
    River
       
    • 4
         
    LARSON7 Win Three Aces 8970.00  8970.00
    RaguRy Win Three 9s 400.00
  • profman15profman15 Member Posts: 1,808
    edited June 2013
    Hi L

    Don't know the av stack size but its fairly early and looking at the hands, no offence but what are the others doing? Aha ...it's a bounty hunter which pretty much explains some of these rash decisions tbh. I don't see much poker logic in their play except  the "I'm going to get lucky or bust out early and don't want to get bored" syndrome... Nice to see that the proper play got its just rewards...nice one!
  • craigcu12craigcu12 Member Posts: 3,962
    edited June 2013
    well Larson I am glad you got your A on the turn while the 10 stayed away because that 99 should not have even made the call when a villain has just did a shove as for the QJ well that should have only calls.
    as they always say that's bounty hunters NH BTW.
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