17%?

sighcall

I know people are gonna say BBV but what i am interested in is i typed this into a %age generator and it said he had 17% chance of winning, is this correct?

Thanks

Player	Action	Cards	Amount	Pot	Balance
sikas	Small blind		£0.50	£0.50	£189.96
Rickyyyy	Big blind		£1.00	£1.50	£110.95
	Your hole cards	Q K
varney	Raise		£4.00	£5.50	£154.21
sighcall	Call		£4.00	£9.50	£93.00
bonzobob	Fold
sikas	Fold
Rickyyyy	Call		£3.00	£12.50	£107.95
Flop
		6 Q 2
Rickyyyy	Check
varney	Bet		£7.00	£19.50	£147.21
sighcall	Call		£7.00	£26.50	£86.00
Rickyyyy	Raise		£23.00	£49.50	£84.95
varney	Fold
sighcall	All-in		£86.00	£135.50	£0.00
Rickyyyy	All-in		£84.95	£220.45	£0.00
Rickyyyy	Unmatched bet		£14.95	£205.50	£14.95
Rickyyyy	Show	4 5
sighcall	Show	Q K
Turn
		3
River
		7
Rickyyyy	Win	Straight to the 7	£203.70		£218.65

Lambert180

It's right that he only has 17% yes. You have his FD covered, he has 2 under cards to your pair and a GS, so he needs to either hit a 4 outer, or running 44, 55, or 45, both are pretty unlikely things.

profman15

HI S

Yes in fact on the flop his equity is 17.9% from pokerstove. He needs the 3 so 4 outs. He needs to catch a non diamond 3 or runner runner non diamond 4's or 5's.I supose he thinks his flush if hitting would win though i'd have thought your raise would give him a bad feeling.

skeg01

Ouch, that is unlucky lol. Just to add insult to injury, he gets a non diamond 7 on the river for a higher straight haha.

sighcall

yeh was a bit of a slight BBV, tbh i was suprised he has as high a %age as 17.

ah well, guess thats poker

liamboi11

yeah defo bbv but vul in the hand gutshots always hurt

in all fairness to opponent think i play the hand the same way because he ain`t goin to be crushed like that all the time.

hhyftrftdr

In Response to Re: 17%?:

HI S Yes in fact on the flop his equity is 17.9% from pokerstove. He needs the 3 so 4 outs. He needs to catch a non diamond 3 or runner runner non diamond 4's or 5's.I supose he thinks his flush if hitting would win though i'd have thought your raise would give him a bad feeling.
Posted by profman15

3 of diamonds gives him the straight flush.