Hi all,
Used to grind the £5.50's and sometimes £11's a couple of years back and had a pretty good ROI. Stopped because I got a bit bored and returned recently and they seem to be trickier; players seem more clued up and in general aren't making as many mistakes . What do others think? Are these games now 'solved'?
Comments
i stopped playing DYMs, not because of MY play but the stupidity of others.
once the chip leader could easily fold his/her way to cashing, they decide to get involved and bleed chips
to every short stack.
this type of play is outwith my control, its not as if you can tell them to just fold, you only need to come 3rd
to cash.
any game where my % of the chips can be influenced by others bad play, is not the type of game i want to play.
so i only play cash now, maybe i still lose a hand but thats because of MY play
Playing 20 DYMs, you'd have to cash in 11, just to break even. (55% ITM rate)
This is why on every other highly successful site other than Sky, has/had a rake for DYMs in the single-digits.
Think of it this way. The more players you have the opportunity to play against, the bigger your edge is. Just like in a HU match (with a DYM), you only have to outlast half of the field to cash, so the edge is nowhere near as great for any skilled player.
This concept also applies to the payscale for a tournament or sit+go. The more top-heavy a structure is, the bigger the edge for the winnings players. Conversely, the flatter it is, the lesser the edge.
No matter how good you are, winning more than 55 out of every 100 DYMs, is an extremely tough ask. Borderline impossible for anyone who isn't an absolute crushcake.
For me it's about exploiting other players' mistakes. If everyone played a solid TAG game and the shove / fold stage on the bubble perfectly then it would purely come down to the cards and 55% would be pretty much unsustainable (although I guess this could apply to all forms of poker).
In every DYM I play I still encounter weak players. For example, in a £3.30 tonight a player 3bet shoved all in in the second level with 88 and got called by QJ - suicidal play from both players.
The 'double your money' tag line attracts a lot of weak players so I think there will always be an edge there to grind out a modest ROI.
v.wp sir.
Games must be good to have a win-rate that high in DYMs, and credit to you. I can only assume that the higher you move up, the lesser the edge, and closer and closer to break even you'd get, even with a great win-rate of ~55%. At the Micro limits, the rake can be up to 20%, or even more iirc? So the sweet spot must be in that Low level then, I guess.
gg guys!