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Would you fold the river?

LARSON7LARSON7 Member Posts: 4,491
edited July 2013 in The Poker Clinic

It just didn't look like a bluff on the river, looked like a value bet. Thoughts?

SNOOPY616_ Small blind  £0.05 £0.05 £5.65
AcidMan27 Big blind  £0.10 £0.15 £19.75
  Your hole cards
  • J
  • 10
     
POKEY2011 Raise  £0.30 £0.45 £26.85
mmmchips Fold     
MrCoxy Fold     
LARSON7 Call  £0.30 £0.75 £27.44
SNOOPY616_ Fold     
AcidMan27 Fold     
Flop
   
  • 7
  • 6
  • 9
     
POKEY2011 Bet  £0.56 £1.31 £26.29
LARSON7 Call  £0.56 £1.87 £26.88
Turn
   
  • J
     
POKEY2011 Check     
LARSON7 Bet  £0.94 £2.81 £25.94
POKEY2011 Call  £0.94 £3.75 £25.35
River
   
  • 10
     
POKEY2011 Bet  £2.81 £6.56 £22.54
LARSON7 Fold     
POKEY2011 Muck     
POKEY2011 Win  £3.46  £26.00
POKEY2011 Return  
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Comments

  • Lambert180Lambert180 Member Posts: 12,197
    edited July 2013
    Yeah doubt it's a bluff and doubt he's value betting a worse 2pr on a str8y flushy board.

    Bit sigh but it's probably a fold.
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  • LARSON7LARSON7 Member Posts: 4,491
    edited July 2013

    Really weird line checking the turn, prob scared of the flush.

    He prob had 88, with 8 of diamonds. But still, i'd prob expect him to bet turn with pocket 8s.

    Weird one lol

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  • craigcu12craigcu12 Member Posts: 3,960
    edited July 2013
    Larson when he checks the turn it doesn't mean that he is certain to be scared of the flush.
    what he could be trying to do is check for deception and when he saw you then make a bet he might be thinking you have a flush but knowing he has the nut flush he only calls it then does a jam on the river thinking you will call a flush.
    it is not certain that he has it but what we are sure of is he is probably ahead.

    i think it is more likely AJ-AKs or possible suited connectors
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  • Lambert180Lambert180 Member Posts: 12,197
    edited July 2013
    He didn't jam the river (or even close).

    I think he would just keep on barrelling with a FD that's my his flush on the turn. Pokey is a decent player that will more often than not be just going for the straight forward value route imo.

    I think Larson is pretty spot on that he probably has some kinda 8x hand, maybe 88, 68, 78, 89
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  • craigcu12craigcu12 Member Posts: 3,960
    edited July 2013

    sorry about that I got a bit mixed up with the sizes of bets from nl4
    with a bet like that it does look as thought he has the 8. was their a possibility of KQ being in his range still?

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  • Batkin88Batkin88 Member Posts: 1,682
    edited July 2013
    Over jam he is good enough to fold a straight there
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