Player | Action | Cards | Amount | Pot | Balance |
---|
cooooie | Small blind | | £0.15 | £0.15 | £15.72 |
yddis | Sitout | | | | |
X | Big blind | | £0.30 | £0.45 | £32.43 |
| Your hole cards | | | | |
dontazeme | Fold | | | | |
F_Ivanovic | Raise | | £0.90 | £1.35 | £36.16 |
Tracksuit | Fold | | | | |
cooooie | Fold | | | | |
X | Call | | £0.60 | £1.95 | £31.83 |
Flop |
---|
| | | | | |
X | Check | | | | |
F_Ivanovic | Bet | | £1.46 | £3.41 | £34.70 |
X | Call | | £1.46 | £4.87 | £30.37 |
Turn |
---|
| | | | | |
X | Check | | | | |
F_Ivanovic | Bet | | £5.80 | £10.67 | £28.90 |
X | Raise | | £15.20 | £25.87 | £15.17 |
F_Ivanovic | Call | | £9.40 | £35.27 | £19.50 |
River |
---|
| | | | | |
X | All-in | | £15.17 | £50.44 | £0.00 |
| | | | | |
| | | | | |
So I get myself into another weird spot when I decide to overbet the turn. Board is so wet that I might decide to overbet here with my really strong hands so I decide to do it here with my huge draw. Raise is really confusing as I'd expect most of his strong hands to raise the flop. Am calling £9.40 to win £65 so only need 14.5% equity which I have vs anything. Although sometimes I call turn + hit river and still lose. Do I just shove turn or is there no fold equity? Or is calling fine?
Anyway, river brings a flush. But the board pairs and he shoves into me. Do I have to fold here or will I be right enough of the time?
Notes I have on villain "Called a turn overbet with A high. Doesn't value bet thinly but capable of bluffing. Raised 78J flop with 82 bet hp on X turn and check river." So they seem pretty strange in general.
Comments
I'm not sure if I would be overly concerned that he has the house. Are you putting him on 87? I mean, it's a reasonable holding, sure, and he potentially would raise the turn with two pair in that spot, given - as you have said - how wet the board is.
But I think you're good here more often than you're not. I reckon he is more likely to have a straight draw (or possibly the made straight) on the turn.
Do we really need to balance our turn over betting range at 30nl? Especially v an opponent who has shown he will call them light. Just keep it to value surely?
Not sure what i do on river. I suppose a lot of my decision making will be based on what you had shown up with last time you overbet turn v him and he called with ace high. If you did it with nutted hands then his raise is strong. If you showed down a semi bluff/bluff then it makes it an easier river call although we will be beat a lot.
Even opponents who don’t take much notice of their opponents tendencies will remember a turn over bet as they won’t face it often so people will recognise it more. The fact you turned up with a bluff last time, the added chance he will remember that you had a bluff and the fact he has shown he is capable of bluffing (in your notes) prob make it a call. I’m not too happy about it though and expect to get shown a better hand a fair amount. The fact he has a couple of value hands you beat and the possible bluffing combos make it a sigh call for me.
I’m still not the biggest fan of the turn over bet though. I like the line on some occasions but v this opponent and the history you have given i would just stick to over betting for value.
call turn
call river
given the overbet on turn and his raise you now have no f/e but do have odds to make this call- ur not getting the odds u think (9.40 to win 65 ?? ) its a pretty sick river and expect to be behind most time so yea its a question of are we gonna win enough vs his range to make this correct ?? well we have to be correct 23% or basically 1 out of 4 times.. given reads and worse turn rasing value hands that u called u cannot fold river for this price..
For those interested:
I needed 22.2% OTR and believed I may be good about 1/3 ott so pretty much forced to call. Shocked to see this was the hand I was up against!