PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalanceevoboySmall blind 25.0025.002825.00TheOAPBig blind 50.0075.002950.00 Your hole cards55 manutd1999Raise 150.00225.002850.00lerkyRaise 450.00675.002725.00rivermunkyCall 450.001125.002450.00carrsbarFold evoboyFold TheOAPFold manutd1999Call 300.001425.002550.00Flop 8QQ manutd1999Check lerkyCheck rivermunkyBet 350.001775.002100.00manutd1999Call 350.002125.002200.00lerkyCall 350.002475.002375.00Turn 5 manutd1999Check lerkyCheck rivermunkyBet 400.002875.001700.00manutd1999Call 400.003275.001800.00lerkyFold River 4 manutd1999All-in 1800.005075.000.00rivermunkyAll-in 1700.006775.000.00manutd1999Unmatched bet 100.006675.00100.00manutd1999ShowQQ rivermunkyShow55 manutd1999WinFour Queens6675.00 6775.00
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Comments
VWP sir.
when is it profitable to set mine? i.e. implied odds & stack sizes etc I'm finding a lot of conflicting stuff online.
So in this example, for OP to call 450, he should want both his and the opponent's stack to be 9000+ (minus what's in the pot already.
As it is, his dream scenario is flop a set, stack the 3bettor and win 1125 (the pot now) + 2450 (villians stack).
So 1 time in 9 he wins 3575
8 times in 9 he loses 450 * 8 = 3600
So it's a losing play even if he could say that when he flops a set he will have the best hand by the river 100% of the time and the villian will stack off 100% of the time, and obv we can never say that.
It's partly player dependent, like some players we will recognise as people that will happily just stack off with 2nd pr so our chances of winning stacks setmining against them are good, whereas others will not stack off with TPTK 100xBB deep so we'd need them to hit big but not as big as us so the implied odds aren't so good.
That's all talking about just pure set mining. Sometimes we can call pre against some people with 99 knowing obv a set would be nice but we can also proceed on some flops where we're likely to be good.