All right, I know this is a little late to the party - and I have never posted for advice before - but I fancied a few opinions on this hand I played in the Sunday side event at Dusk til Dawn, as it has me torn.
It's the final table and seven players are left. I am very comfortably 3rd in chips, and feel very good about the takedown. I have about 220k and the blinds are 4k/8k. I have QQ and raise under the gun to 18k. Next guy shoves all in for about 95k. Fold. Fold. Fold. Fold. Then the big blind (who is second in chips and therefore has me covered, shoves his stack). Now, I am not worried at all about the 95k - I was always going to call him - but I know the BB must have something decent to isolate him in that way. Of course, I am only behind against KK or AA at that stage, but is it correct to go to war at that stage against two hands?
If I call and win I am massive chip leader. If I call and lose to the big stack, I'm out in 6th place.
So: call or a fold? It has been bugging me for a week now!
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Comments
gl mate Ray
I would prob pick a better spot.
6 combos of AA.
6 combos of KK
6 combos of JJ
16 combos of AK
Readless those hands are all very likely. We fold if those are the only hands in his range.
16 combos of AQ
6 combos of TT
6 combos of 99
etc...
If you throw these hands in there, or more, then it becomes a call.
Presumably you knew something about the villain. Perhaps not a lot, but you could perhaps gauge how tight he is.
Thanks for the words, folks.
BL - I didn't know too much about him, as I had only seen him get to showdown with one or two hands, which didn't tell me much. I just didn't understand the shove, unless it was a big hand. It wasn't a bounty hunter, so he had to have at least a semi-decent hand.
Having said that, I called after some deliberation. He turned over AK, while the short stack had KJ. It was probably the best I could have hoped for as they killed their king outs. Of course, the ace came on the turn and I was out in 6th place. A good cash, but I do sometimes wonder if I should have folded and waited for a better spot. Against two players, I am rarely good...
...I think!
Open shover with <12BB has a very wide range - pair - any ace - any 2 high cards
Reshover knows this and will want to get it in HU with a slightly narrower range imo - maybe exclude raggy A's. low pairs and any 2face cards but I think you can definitely go further than Borin's minimum range for calling.
In 3rd and feeling good need to be going for the win.
Long term has to be the profitable play.
I would only consider a fold if laddering is really meaningful e.g. Sat'ed into a large event.
There will be opportunities to accumulate chips with less risk to your tournament, but it is hard to see how you will find a better spot for taking a player out and becoming chip leader.