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Why do regs always run good?
Enut
Member Posts: 3,565
OK the title is deliberately a bit af an attention grabber and I rarely post bad beats but what is you opinion of the call by my op here? We are in the mid/late stages of last nights £30 BH (76 left) and I have a stack where IMO I can only go all in to his raise. Comments on his call, for virtually his tourney life?
I have deleted his name but he is a very experienced and profitable player so I guess he made the right decision? To give a little history I had gone all in previously in a similar position to his SB raise, so maybe he didn't give me credit for a hand but really A2, is that a hand to call off virtually all of your stack?
I have deleted his name but he is a very experienced and profitable player so I guess he made the right decision? To give a little history I had gone all in previously in a similar position to his SB raise, so maybe he didn't give me credit for a hand but really A2, is that a hand to call off virtually all of your stack?
| xxxxxxx | Small blind | 150.00 | 150.00 | 9649.00 | |
| Enut | Big blind | 300.00 | 450.00 | 7605.00 | |
| Your hole cards |
| ||||
| GELDY | Fold | ||||
| hammers13 | Fold | ||||
| PUPPASMURF | Fold | ||||
| Omen69 | Fold | ||||
| xxxxxxx | Raise | 750.00 | 1200.00 | 8899.00 | |
| Enut | All-in | 7605.00 | 8805.00 | 0.00 | |
| xxxxxxx | Call | 7005.00 | 15810.00 | 1894.00 | |
| xxxxxxx | Show |
| |||
| Enut | Show |
| |||
| Flop | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||
| Turn | |||||
| |||||
| River | |||||
| |||||
| xxxxxxx | Win | Two Pairs, Aces and 2s | 15810.00 | 17704.00 | |
Comments
He didn't get it all in with AK, I had AK. He called my all in with A2.
I didn't get it all in to a 300 bet, I reraised all in with about 7500 chips to his raise of 750. In my view if I am going to go with the hand with that chip stack I may as well go all.
As for the comment about trying to improve, I am not a complete novice, I just didn't understand the rationale for his call, I guess that's why I posted.
Apart from that thanks for your reply.
Ironically one of the situations I dread when playing poker is actually getting my money in with a dominating hand. It may just be me but I certainly think I lose a lot more than 24%of those hands! Some nights I'm pretty sure I don't even win 50% let alone 70% plus! Maybe I just run bad!
i think on you're part 25 bigs is a touch on the big side to be 3-bet shoving paticularly when theres no antes in play on sky, but its not terrible i suppose if you feel people call with worse for you're bounty
i know you have probably heard this before but we want these calls all day long in mtts and all regs dont allways get there either, if you can keep getting you're chips in like this you will make a lot of money in the future belive me, gl gl
Thanks again for you comments.
You said you made the same move in the same situation previously, so maybe he thinks you're just going to shove any 2 in a sb vs bb battle.
Also, shoving around 30bb to a 2.5bb raise looks a little bluffy. If he thinks you're shoving KQ/KJ/KT/K9/QJ/QT, then his A high is good.
You have to remember, blind battles are a bit different. If he made that raise from MP and you shoved, I expect he may fold. But when someone picks up an A in the sb, in an unopened pot, they usually aren't folding.
So, the size of your shove, the positions, and the fact you shoved previously, are the main factors he called.
If he is a proffitable regular i'm not sure what he was thinking, but hey I've seen bad calls before, and made them myself. Haven't we all.
As to his notes on me if he has watched over the last year or so he probably has the note 'often loses when all in with dominating hands' as that seems to be a feature of how I run. Am I the only player that dreads seeing that I am dominating when the cards turn over? I know I seem to lose these situations far more than I would like! Give me a coin flip any day - at least I know it was 50/50 then and easier to deal with the ones I don't win!
Simple fact is that this situation is not much more than a coin flip. They hold 30% equity and so you are going to lose 30% of the time. That means there will be a lot of them. It is also the reason that MTT's can have high variance due to yo needing quite a bit of luck to reach the big money, even if you play them real well.
I used to talk to a lot of people with this mind-set on fulltilt and even went through my pokertracker to give them my stats for various things like this one, or how often you get dealt a certain hand, how often a flush draw completes from flop to river or how often you hit your set.
The results were sooo bang on to statistical probability it was amazing really, even to me. So in short, don't believe your very faulty human memory. You cannot possible remember a big enough sample of cards to get a true picture of statistical probability.
I think in future I will think of it that I simply 'had a better ace' etc.