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How much on the river
How much would you bet on the river here and why?
Go big for value, or just small. Anyone check this?
CarnageSmall blind £0.05£0.05£19.48nannymay23Big blind £0.10£0.15£8.45jaymaicanSit out Your hole cardsAK LARSON7Raise £0.30£0.45£20.26tinman282Fold simon1965Fold CarnageCall £0.25£0.70£19.23nannymay23Fold Flop 92A CarnageBet £0.53£1.23£18.70LARSON7Raise £1.41£2.64£18.85CarnageCall £0.88£3.52£17.82Turn 4 CarnageCheck LARSON7Bet £2.64£6.16£16.21CarnageCall £2.64£8.80£15.18River 7 CarnageCheck LARSON7
Go big for value, or just small. Anyone check this?
CarnageSmall blind £0.05£0.05£19.48nannymay23Big blind £0.10£0.15£8.45jaymaicanSit out Your hole cardsAK LARSON7Raise £0.30£0.45£20.26tinman282Fold simon1965Fold CarnageCall £0.25£0.70£19.23nannymay23Fold Flop 92A CarnageBet £0.53£1.23£18.70LARSON7Raise £1.41£2.64£18.85CarnageCall £0.88£3.52£17.82Turn 4 CarnageCheck LARSON7Bet £2.64£6.16£16.21CarnageCall £2.64£8.80£15.18River 7 CarnageCheck LARSON7
Comments
fold to shove ?
Do you have any reads on what his donk bet tends to mean in terms of range?
Are we assuming it must be a weaker ace (and be sick if its A7), middle PP or a 9?
Is he someone that will just keep calling down top/second pair (eg chuck a full pot bet on river) or do you need to make the call more tempting by going around 1/2 pot?
And then if he does raise, is he a bluffy sort of player or only going to be doing it with a set or two pair (with aces and xxx)
Without filling in a few of these blanks I'd probably bet 1/2 pot... hoping to get a call from 9x.
Feel a little uneasy when it's a player I know a little. Much prefer xxxx with a few reads.
Still, he answers that he has something by calling the reraise. I would be surprised I think to see him holding a set given he checks the river. However, I know you are pretty aggresive and if he knows this too maybe he would check the river instead of leading out on it after C/C on turn.
Certainly think you have to value bet it, but I'm not a huge fan of big bets on river with TP even if with TK when you've had someone have enough to call reraise on flop. I suspect you are ahead a fair amount of the time with his line and so £5 would be ok, though have to fold to a reraise obviously.
However, my above is read dependant. if he has sat long enough to pick up on your game then maybe he does play passively thinking he gets more out of you than if he does the betting. So small caution I guess, but I'd need a good reason to think he is trapping with a check on the river.
Totally readless and going on his line only I'd have to put him on an ace with a weaker kicker (sometimes same hand for chop). Possibly A9 as well but anything else means he has your number.