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when will it end

churchy18churchy18 Member Posts: 1,850
edited January 2015 in Brags, Beats and Variance
what can you do if you feel scared to bet when you are ahead just because it feels like you know you will come out behind every time.
when will it end
just some hands from last 24 hours.
churchy18 Small blind   100.00 100.00 1110.00
  Big blind   200.00 300.00 2717.50
  Your hole cards
  • 4
  • K
  • 7
  • K
     
      200.00 500.00 2095.00
           
      200.00 700.00 7215.00
churchy18 Call   100.00 800.00 1010.00
           
Flop
   
  • K
  • 6
  • 3
     
churchy18 Check        
  Check        
  Check        
  Check        
Turn
   
  • A
     
churchy18 Check        
  Check        
  Check        
  Bet   200.00 1000.00 7015.00
churchy18 All-in   1010.00 2010.00 0.00
  Fold        
  Call   1010.00 3020.00 1085.00
  Call   810.00 3830.00 6205.00
River
   
  • A
     
  Check        
  Bet   800.00 4630.00 5405.00
  All-in   1085.00 5715.00 0.00
  Call   285.00 6000.00 5120.00
churchy18 Show
  • 4
  • K
  • 7
  • K
     
  Show
  • 3
  • 7
  • A
  • 2
     
  Show
  • A
  • J
  • 6
  • J
     
  Win high Full House, Aces and 6s 3000.00   8120.00
  Win low 7-low 3000.00   3000.00
feel whats the point shoving point in shoving as this is happening all the time!
  Small blind   50.00 50.00 3237.50
  Big blind   100.00 150.00 962.50
  Your hole cards
  • 4
  • J
  • 3
  • J
     
  Call   100.00 250.00 1557.50
  Fold        
  Fold        
  Call   100.00 350.00 1505.00
  Call   50.00 400.00 3187.50
  Check        

   
  • A
  • J
  • 9
     
  Check        
  Check        
  Check        
  Bet   100.00 500.00 1405.00
  Call   100.00 600.00 3087.50
  Fold        
  Call   100.00 700.00 1457.50

   
  • K
     
  Check        
  Check        
  Bet   100.00 800.00 1305.00
  Raise   1000.00 1800.00 2087.50
  Fold        
  Call   900.00 2700.00 405.00

   
  • Q
     
  All-in   2087.50 4787.50 0.00
  Fold        
  Muck        
  Win   2700.00   2700.00
  Return   2087.50 0.00 4787.50
and then what can you do with this one?
  Small blind   150.00 150.00 2720.00
  Big blind   300.00 450.00 3215.00
  Your hole cards
  • Q
  • 6
  • A
  • Q
     
churchy18 Raise   1050.00 1500.00 1050.00
  Call   1050.00 2550.00 2465.00
  Fold        
  Fold        
Flop
   
  • 10
  • Q
  • 7
     
  All-in   1050.00 3600.00 0.00
  Call   1050.00 4650.00 1415.00
churchy18
 Show
  • Q
  • 6
  • A
  • Q
     
  Show
  • 10
  • 10
  • 6
  • 3
     
Turn
   
  • 8
     
River
   
  • 10
     
  Win high Four 10s 4650.00   6065.00
  No qualifying low hand
and whats the point playing decent aa hands when this keeps happening!
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           

           
           
           
           
           

           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
  Small blind   50.00 50.00 2665.00
churchy18 Big blind   100.00 150.00 2495.00
  Your hole cards
  • A
  • A
  • 4
  • 8
     
  Fold        
  Call   100.00 250.00 765.00
  Call   100.00 350.00 1802.50
  Call   50.00 400.00 2615.00
churchy18 Raise   400.00 800.00 2095.00
  All-in   765.00 1565.00 0.00
  Fold        
  Fold        
churchy18 Call   365.00 1930.00 1730.00
churchy18 Show
  • A
  • A
  • 4
  • 8
     
  Show
  • J
  • J
  • 5
  • 3
     
Flop
   
  • 3
  • K
  • J
     
Turn
   
  • 6
     
River
   
  • 9
     
  Win high Three Jacks 1930.00   1930.00
  No qualifying low hand  
  Small blind   100.00 100.00 3515.00
  Big blind   200.00 300.00 1185.00
  Your hole cards
  • 10
  • Q
  • 4
  • A
     
  Fold        
  Raise   700.00 1000.00 2785.00
  Fold        
  All-in   1185.00 2185.00 0.00
  Call   685.00 2870.00 2100.00
  Show
  • K
  • J
  • K
  • J
     
churchy18 Show
  • 10
  • Q
  • 4
  • A
     
Flop
   
  • 5
  • J
  • 4
     
Turn
   
  • 8
     
River
   
  • J
     
  Win high Four Jacks 2870.00   2870.00
  No qualifying low hand    
  Small blind   50.00 50.00 1832.50
  Big blind   100.00 150.00 460.00
  Your hole cards
  • A
  • 7
  • 5
  • 4
     
  Fold        
churchy18 Raise   350.00 500.00 1987.52
  Fold        
  Fold        
  Fold        
  Call   250.00 750.00 210.00

   
  • Q
  • 6
  • 9
     
  Check        
  Bet   300.00 1050.00 1687.52
  All-in   210.00 1260.00 0.00
  Unmatched bet   90.00 1170.00 1777.52
  Show
  • 4
  • 7
  • 9
  • 6
     
churchy18 Show
  • A
  • 7
  • 5
  • 4
     
Turn
   
  • A
     
River
   
  • J
     
  Win high Two Pairs, 9s and 6s 1170.00   1170.00
  No qualifying low hand  
  Small blind   10.00 10.00 2100.00
  Big blind   20.00 30.00 1940.00
  Your hole cards
  • A
  • 3
  • 8
  • A
     
  Fold        
churchy18 Raise   70.00 100.00 2710.00
  Call   70.00 170.00 1690.00
  Fold        
  Fold        
  Fold        
Flop
   
  • J
  • Q
  • 3
     
churchy18 Bet   127.50 297.50 2582.50
  Call   127.50 425.00 1562.50
Turn
   
  • 7
     
churchy18 Bet   318.75 743.75 2263.75
  Call   318.75 1062.50 1243.75
River
   
  • 7
     
churchy18 Bet   1062.50 2125.00 1201.25
  Call   1062.50 3187.50 181.25
churchy18 Show
  • A
  • 3
  • 8
  • A
     
  Show
  • 2
  • K
  • A
  • 7
     
  Win high Three 7s 3187.50   3368.75
  No qualifying low hand        
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Comments

  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH Member Posts: 17,929
    edited August 2014

    Haven't read past the first 2 hands. 

    It's hardly surprising you're getting outdrawn alot when a) you're playing low stakes PLO/PLO8, and b) you refuse to bet your hands and let people have all the free cards they want in a 'drawing game'. 

    It's pointless playing if you're not going to try. 
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  • churchy18churchy18 Member Posts: 1,850
    edited August 2014
    In Response to Re: when will it end:
    Haven't read past the first 2 hands.  It's hardly surprising you're getting outdrawn alot when a) you're playing low stakes PLO/PLO8, and b) you refuse to bet your hands and let people have all the free cards they want in a 'drawing game'.  It's pointless playing if you're not going to try. 
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH
    you should probably read the lot before commenting.

    maybe look at the other hands and you will see i do ussually bet but whats the point when u know people will not fold and then hit on the river when you do as is shown in the other hands.like the hand i had aces bet all the way with aa on qj 6 board and he calls all the way with nothing but chasing the lo hand then turn 7 a pair river 7 trips. and what about the trip queens v trip tens and lo and beyhold he hits the ten on the river for quads!

    those hands where out of the 1st 5 pages of my hand history last night thats why i am meaning when will it end.would you feel that comfortable getting it in when no matter how much of a fav you are you are still getting caught.and outdrawn and it just keeps happening for the last few months.

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  • seanallenseanallen Member Posts: 114
    edited August 2014
    Once all the money goes in the hand is over, long term it doesn't actually matter what turn/ river are. The average amount you expect to win/lose with each play is where your profit/loss comes from.

    How big is the sample size over three months? I only really play cash(variance not so big a thing) but it sounds like a really long time just to be running bad.

      
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  • iatehorseiatehorse Member Posts: 50
    edited August 2014
    In Response to Re: when will it end:
    Once all the money goes in the hand is over, long term it doesn't actually matter what turn/ river are. The average amount you expect to win/lose with each play is where your profit/loss comes from. How big is the sample size over three months? I only really play cash(variance not so big a thing) but it sounds like a really long time just to be running bad.   
    Posted by seanallen
    <3 this post....... although I twist far to much when on the wrong side of variance
    .............
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  • churchy18churchy18 Member Posts: 1,850
    edited August 2014
    In Response to Re: when will it end:
    Once all the money goes in the hand is over, long term it doesn't actually matter what turn/ river are. The average amount you expect to win/lose with each play is where your profit/loss comes from. How big is the sample size over three months? I only really play cash(variance not so big a thing) but it sounds like a really long time just to be running bad.   
    Posted by seanallen
    those hands where just from a couple of pages and then gave up as it was just getting me annoyed looking back at them.
    been happening for a couple of months lost about 200 in that time not a lot too most i know but i really should not be losing that much at the stakes i play i am not the best but ussually manage too stay afloat.

     just cant seem too get going think maybe im playing with the thought that no matter how or what i do i will lose and this might be affectiing my play as well. its a crazy and frustrating game

    think i might just start again and read through some tikays diary and the poker clinic cheers for the reply i was more just venting and getting it out..

    run good ...churchy
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  • VespaPXVespaPX Member Posts: 12,458
    edited August 2014
    Chin up churchy
    I'm on a run similar to yours at the moment.
    Just gotta keep grinding.

    GL mate
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  • churchy18churchy18 Member Posts: 1,850
    edited August 2014
    In Response to Re: when will it end:
    Chin up churchy I'm on a run similar to yours at the moment. Just gotta keep grinding. GL mate
    Posted by VespaPX
    cheers mate hope things are getting a bit better for yourself too all the best churchy
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  • HENDRIK62HENDRIK62 Member Posts: 3,221
    edited August 2014
    Hi Churchy,

    From my limited experience in PLO8, I think you need to tighten your pre flop selections, in the hands you posted there are no double suited and your lo hand back up is weak. 
    I know this is only a small selection, but I would surmise looking through your hand history you will find less beats when you have played double suited stronger hole cards.

    Neil
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  • HENDRIK62HENDRIK62 Member Posts: 3,221
    edited August 2014
    Hi Churchy,

    Nice playing with you tonight. as I post you are HU with Sir Gary well played.
     Remember this hand next time someone out  draws you, its just life ;-)

    ActionCardsAmountPotBalanceSir-GarySmall blind 150.00150.006006.88churchy18Big blind 300.00450.001775.64 Your hole cardshttps://www.skypoker.com/img/site/diamond.gif'); background-attachment: initial; background-color: #ffffff; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: 1px 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat" class="diamond">K    https://www.skypoker.com/img/site/club.gif'); background-attachment: initial; background-color: #ffffff; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: 1px 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat" class="club">A    https://www.skypoker.com/img/site/club.gif'); background-attachment: initial; background-color: #ffffff; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: 1px 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat" class="club">4https://www.skypoker.com/img/site/heart.gif'); background-attachment: initial; background-color: #ffffff; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: 1px 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat" class="heart">A   IDONKCALLUFold    sherifoo7Fold    cenachavFold    https://www.skypoker.com/img/site/hhdealer.gif'); background-attachment: initial; background-color: transparent; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: 100% 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat" class="dealer">HENDRIK62Raise 1050.001500.004625.64Sir-GaryCall 900.002400.005106.88churchy18All-in 1775.644175.640.00HENDRIK62All-in 4625.648801.280.00Sir-GaryCall 4625.6413426.92481.24Sir-GaryShow   churchy18Show
    • https://www.skypoker.com/img/site/diamond.gif'); background-attachment: initial; background-color: #ffffff; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: 1px 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat" class="diamond">6
    • https://www.skypoker.com/img/site/heart.gif'); background-attachment: initial; background-color: #ffffff; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: 1px 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat" class="heart">7
    • https://www.skypoker.com/img/site/heart.gif'); background-attachment: initial; background-color: #ffffff; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: 1px 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat" class="heart">Q
    • https://www.skypoker.com/img/site/heart.gif'); background-attachment: initial; background-color: #ffffff; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: 1px 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat" class="heart">K
       HENDRIK62Show   Flop  
    • https://www.skypoker.com/img/site/spade.gif'); background-attachment: initial; background-color: #ffffff; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: 1px 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat" class="spade">7
    • https://www.skypoker.com/img/site/spade.gif'); background-attachment: initial; background-color: #ffffff; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: 1px 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat" class="spade">Q
    • https://www.skypoker.com/img/site/heart.gif'); background-attachment: initial; background-color: #ffffff; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: 1px 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat" class="heart">3
       Turn     River  
    • https://www.skypoker.com/img/site/spade.gif'); background-attachment: initial; background-color: #ffffff; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: 1px 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat" class="spade">J
       churchy18Win highFull House, 7s and Queens6226.92 6226.92Sir-GaryWin highFlush to the King7200.00 7681.24 No qualifying low hand   
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  • Tikay10Tikay10 Member, Administrator, Moderator Posts: 171,071
    edited August 2014

    Hi churchy.

    Just a bit of standard run bad really.

    All you can do is grin and bear it, it's part of the game.

    You could avoid some if it though. Hands like J-J-3-4 are positively awful, don't even make up the SB with that sort of stuff. You would be lucky to win either end with such a dreadful hand, never mind scoop.

    Don't forget, before we play any hand, ask yourself "what are the chances of scooping with this?".

    Try and get used to being more disciplined, and chuck junk like that in the muck pre flop, it can only end badly when we play such dreadful hands.

    Try just playing hands that contain an ace for a game or two. You'll be amazed at the difference.
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  • churchy18churchy18 Member Posts: 1,850
    edited August 2014
    thanks for the replys hendricks and tikay.

    do agree need too tighten up on hand selection just a bad few months but it happens.
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