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message to colchester and those on his table

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  • MattBatesMattBates Member Posts: 4,118
    edited September 2014
    I have seen in a few posts you do a certain play and based on your sample of 1 you decide whether a play is good or not.
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  • seanallenseanallen Member Posts: 114
    edited September 2014
    Does any one know the actual formula you use for working out the EV of a shove?

    Say in the above example if we expect to get folds 2/3 of the time and have 35% average equity when we get called, how do we go about working out how many chips we win/ lose on average by shoving.

    66% of the time we win 400 chips.
    33% of the time we lose 5500/3 = 1850 - 2600 (our stack) so - 750

    So it makes the shove + EV by 50 chips?

    Is that right?
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  • seanallenseanallen Member Posts: 114
    edited September 2014
    The numbers are probably wrong, and I kind of plucked the FE and hand equity out of the air, but I mean is the actual formula for working it out right?
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  • hhyftrftdrhhyftrftdr Member Posts: 8,036
    edited September 2014
    Our equity in this spot, in general, I'd imagine to be closer to 40-45% over a good sample.

    But it is a bizarre shove Craig, and as Matt says, you do a certain move once and seem to think it must be a successful play or the most optimal line.

    More than happy to take a free flop here, great multi way hand.
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