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unbelievable

travztravz Member Posts: 6
edited November 2014 in Brags, Beats and Variance
agr88Small blind 200.00200.0012455.00
jaidon1979Big blind 400.00600.009647.50
 Your hole cards
  • K
  • K
   
julesnoottFold    
WHYTEMANCall 400.001000.0017835.00
travzCall 400.001400.003830.00
agr88Call 200.001600.0012255.00
jaidon1979All-in 9647.5011247.500.00
WHYTEMANFold    
travzAll-in 3830.0015077.500.00
agr88Fold    
jaidon1979Unmatched bet 5817.509260.005817.50
jaidon1979Show
  • 7
  • 9
   
travzShow
  • K
  • K
   
Flop
  
  • 4
  • J
  • 9
   
Turn
  
  • 7
   
River
  
  • 7
   
jaidon1979WinFull House, 7s and 9s9260.00 15077.50
the fact he went all in with 97 and just happened to hit a full house is just crazy to me

Comments

  • F_IvanovicF_Ivanovic Member Posts: 2,412
    edited November 2014
    Not really. It's crazy if he does that every time it's limped around to him with any 2 cards but assuming he's been normal up until now then you'd expect the limpers to not be that strong and unable to call the shove. Doing a quick bit of maths it only needs to get folds 2/3 of the time for it to be a profitable play. 

    KK is still going to lose 21% of the time to 7d9d. Sometimes they'll hit 2 pair, sometimes a straight or flush and sometimes a FH or better. Whatever the way you lose is irrelevant. Mostly you'll win this 4 out of 5 times and not even think about it (oh I went in ahead, it's justified that I win) - but then you forget that it's also justified that you lose 1 in 5 times.

    edit: btw: quick question. Suppose we were playing a board game and I rolled a 6 which worked out very well for me. Would you complain about how unlucky you were? The probability of me rolling a 6 is less than the probability of losing this hand.
  • VespaPXVespaPX Member Posts: 12,458
    edited November 2014
    Why did you limp in with such a big hand?
  • hhyftrftdrhhyftrftdr Member Posts: 8,036
    edited November 2014
    If you've over limped to induce this then wp and ul. I sense not though.
  • stuarty117stuarty117 Member Posts: 1,395
    edited November 2014
    KK 10 bigs shove
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