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Odds to call?

hhyftrftdrhhyftrftdr Member Posts: 8,036
edited December 2014 in Strategy
hhyftrftdr Small blind  £0.05 £0.05 £57.39
nutzz Big blind  £0.10 £0.15 £14.17
  Your hole cards
  • 5
  • 6
     
SR23 Fold     
Rich_King Raise  £0.35 £0.50 £7.75
hhyftrftdr Call  £0.30 £0.80 £57.09
nutzz Raise  £0.50 £1.30 £13.67
Rich_King Call  £0.25 £1.55 £7.50
hhyftrftdr Call  £0.25 £1.80 £56.84
Flop
   
  • 2
  • 6
  • 3
     
hhyftrftdr Check     
nutzz Check     
Rich_King Bet  £1.80 £3.60 £5.70
hhyftrftdr Call  £1.80 £5.40 £55.04
nutzz All-in  £13.67 £19.07 £0.00
Rich_King All-in  £5.70
Bearing in mind, I do like a gamble :)
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Comments

  • 77Chris9177Chris91 Member Posts: 375
    edited December 2014
    11.87 to win 36.64

    32% equity needed.

    Close but nope!


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  • hhyftrftdrhhyftrftdr Member Posts: 8,036
    edited December 2014
    Does it alter if I'm pretty confident I'm up against 2 overpairs? :)

    The concern was dirty outs...
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  • Lambert180Lambert180 Member Posts: 12,197
    edited December 2014
    In Response to Re: Odds to call?:
    11.87 to win 36.64 32% equity needed. Close but nope!
    Posted by 77Chris91
    Is it not £11.87 to win £24.77 ?

    That's what we're risking and what's in the middle to win, we don't include money that we aint called off yet do we? or am I wrong?


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  • 77Chris9177Chris91 Member Posts: 375
    edited December 2014
    In Response to Re: Odds to call?:
    In Response to Re: Odds to call? : Is it not £11.87 to win £24.77 ? That's what we're risking and what's in the middle to win, we don't include money that we aint called off yet do we? or am I wrong?
    Posted by Lambert180
    Always been under the impression we do include our call in the calc...

    Maybe someone else could confirm this?
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  • hhyftrftdrhhyftrftdr Member Posts: 8,036
    edited December 2014
    I'm sure in an MTT you'd say 1187 chips to scoop a 3664 pot...Does it change for cash?
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  • TeddyBloatTeddyBloat Member Posts: 1,419
    edited December 2014
    Call divided by pot  to be raked in equals equity required to call. So yes include the call
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  • TeddyBloatTeddyBloat Member Posts: 1,419
    edited December 2014
    There are equity calculations where you subtract your investment, maybe thats where the confusion comes from
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  • dub1dub1 Member Posts: 149
    edited December 2014
    What your referring too is called Alpha (A)


    A = Risk/(Risk+Reward)
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  • F_IvanovicF_Ivanovic Member Posts: 2,410
    edited December 2014
    Fold to initial flop bet and definitely fold now! I'd fold to flop bet because it's a PSB and there's 2 players left to act behind us. Just not a great situation. If I was going to continue OTF because I believed I was ahead of Rich_King then I'd prefer a raise to get rid of the other 2 players. A min-raise should be enough - if one of the other players gets involved we can fold/shut down. If Rich just flats well it's going in OTT anyway.
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