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Look to play for stacks on the flop?
hhyftrftdr
Member Posts: 8,036
| cmb1963 | Small blind | £0.10 | £0.10 | £10.08 | |
| X | Big blind | £0.20 | £0.30 | £39.80 | |
| Your hole cards |
| ||||
| hhyftrftdr | Raise | £0.60 | £0.90 | £39.40 | |
| cmb1963 | Fold | ||||
| X | Raise | £1.60 | £2.50 | £38.20 | |
| hhyftrftdr | Call | £1.20 | £3.70 | £38.20 | |
| Flop | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||
| X | Check | ||||
| hhyftrftdr | Bet | £2.78 | £6.48 | £35.42 | |
| X | Raise | £8.00 | £14.48 | £30.20 | |
Obviously great flop for me but his check raise did make me wonder. Should I pile the money in now, or is my equity so strong that I can call his raise and GII on any turn card, potentially leaving him a bit pot stuck if he does have an airball/something marginal and leads the turn...
Thoughts much appreciated
Comments
The board itself is very raggy, having did a Ch/R, if you held 22 33 or 88, would you not call a set then get the rest in on the turn?
playing it as you want it to be played, i would go and shove the lot in right away whilst the pot is still smaller than stack, the only raise. The only raise i think will still get him to fold on the turn is a min raise, even that will have made him commit more to the pot than he has left in his stack.
He's played it very strong on a very raggy board and the only hand guarenteed to call is 88, the weakest and most unlikely part of his range.
knowing you've got an A5 his runner runner flush is the KxKc at best therefore you'll have even more outs and if he's done it with AA you'll know he can't get the runner runner flush.
so based on on what you attempting to rep his AA is drawing to 2 aces or runner runner straight and if he were to call thinking he's ahead and without the Ac he might be more worried about the flush draw. The rest of his premium pairs, they'll know that the A is just as dangerous to the nut flush draw as it is to the 54s
Thats only my opinion, I would get it in snappy!
Call flop ip. Your just taking a 200bb flip vs his value range if you gii here. Your ahead of all his semi-bluffs and your always going to realise your equity here because were basically not folding on any turn.
I think a lot of people gii on the flop here just because its makes the hand a easier to play.
If HH calls flop pot will be £19.70. Villain bets 3/4 pot (£14.78) on the turn as per your example. HH needs now needs to call £14.78 to win £49.26. 14.78/49.26 = 30% equity needed.
If villain only has 9's, 10's and J's here then we have 16 outs. (9 clubs, 3 aces, 4 fours) 16/47= 34% equity.
Obviously villain won't always have just 9's - J's in his range so our equity is gonna be higher than 34%.
Given a lot of his range is overpairs too, we could potentially get villain off his hand by a flop 3-bet. Villain certainly shouldn't be thrilled GII when our range is monster draws and sets.
ps...what happened Harry?
Result doesn't matter eh
Of course not but I'll sleep easier tonight if I know you hit the winner.....
I won.