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99's facing UTG raise

F_IvanovicF_Ivanovic Member Posts: 2,412
edited March 2015 in The Poker Clinic

Hand History #882906746 (00:18 08/03/2015)

PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
alfarch30Small blind 1250.001250.0033869.24
jok22Big blind 2500.003750.0064059.84
 Your hole cards
  • 9
  • 9
   
smartca627Raise 7500.0011250.0064875.25
F_IvanovicAll-in 29074.8440324.840.00
banana10Fold    
alfarch30Fold    
jok22Fold    
smartca627Call 21574.8461899.6843300.41
smartca627Show    
F_IvanovicShow
  • 9
  • 9
   
Flop
  
  • J
  • 10
  • 8
   
Turn
  
  • J
   
River
  
  • 5
   
      


Last 2 tables of main tonight, 10 left. Can I fold pre? Everyone seemed pretty tight and a 3x UTG just looked really strong. I saw 99's and thought I'm not folding - and just shipped w/o really giving any time to re-think my 99's after UTG had opened. I just think vs a range of AQ+,77+ I only have 40% and with no money invested I should fold. 

Had been mostly a short stack throughout and was getting enough steals through so didn't feel in too much danger despite being quite short now. 

Thoughts?
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Comments

  • CraigSG1CraigSG1 Member Posts: 1,826
    edited March 2015
    I know exactly what you mean. Over a usual min raise its a standard all in but with a 3x we now know we are getting called almost always. 

    I think you can add KQs and AJs in your range as people can be loathe to fold them and also don't want to play it out of position. 

    It's very close I assume and I would make my decision based on how this guy has been playing. Without reads I think 99 is too strong to fold in the six max format. 
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  • AMYBRAMYBR Member Posts: 3,432
    edited March 2015
    Whats the worst hand you think he has here..

    Blatant ICM decision.  w/out any FE at all and 0 chips committed i very likely pass
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  • Lambert180Lambert180 Member Posts: 12,197
    edited March 2015
    Yeah as above I think with 10 left, no FE and against the range I'd expect, it's gotta be a fold... whether I do that in game is another matter ;)

    I think AQ+ and 77+ is pretty accurate, may even take out some of the underpairs to ours 99 (7s and 8s) which obv makes matters miles worse. Think it's a fold anyway.
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  • ShaunyTShaunyT Member Posts: 619
    edited March 2015
    cant see stack sizes, could villain raise/fold?

    If you say the table has been playing tight I would narrow the range to 10+ or AJ+ so either dominated or flipping. I would fold, but i'm not half the player you are Ivan so maybe I should take note. ;)
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