The combination of it being both a turbo and a DYM makes me wonder if these are too reliant on luck because as a turbo my chips will soon drain away and as a DYM I know players will be tight so an all in feels more like a risk.
Two days running i've had a 50/50 W/L ratio and due to rake it's costing me.
is this just an unlucky run or could the early luck in these make loss a greater risk due to rake?
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We play each other a lot and you are a good player. I like having you at the table because I know exactly what to expect from you, solid play and no stupid calls.
I actually do think they are more beatable than people think, and often feel I should put more efforts on to them.
Break-even rake is actually ok if you are smarter about things. For instance, I play almost exclusively DYM's and freerolls on this site and regardless what sharkscope says (I think it will say -8% or so on DYM's but maybe someone who subscribes could check for me, on £2.25 games this year) I make profit.
I am £580 up on sky this year, of which £357 is since august (spiked a decent win on a mtt), The key I find to beating these games for me is to realise that yes I will lose rake, so I can only play them when a promotion is on. And the promotion has to have a higher +ev than I would lose in rake.
The other key is site selection. Just as people talk about table selection as being very important, I find site selection the same. I will be on 4/5 sites at any given time, clearing points to take part in +ev promotions, with sky and 1 other providing £900 of my £1300 profit this year.
I guess it depends on why you play. Do you play for profit or fun. For me, I play a couple of hours in the evenings and am using profit to pay for a wedding in vegas. I don't have time to put in the effort to become an awesome player that can crush games, I am simply better than average and clever about what I play.
And for the record, I think you are a much better player, so if you are playing for profit and not making as much as the numbers I have just talked about, you need to change something, whether it be table or site selection. If you are making more profit or just playing for fun, then anything I said can be ignored
I am happy to talk further about this in pm if you wish.
See you on the tables.