In Response to Re: Do the math : the odds your looking for are 11/47 then 4/46. once u hit 2 pair there are only 4 cards left in the deck left that improve your hand to a FH the other cards become null and hitting them just gives you a different 2 pair Posted by RLT16
Whats the probability of me getting lucky tonte with the wife I think if i round it up its ZERO I hope Aussie does some workings for me and proves me wrong Posted by stuarty117
you'll be right stewarty. i'm on a defo wrong streak.
Whats the probability of me getting lucky tonte with the wife I think if i round it up its ZERO I hope Aussie does some workings for me and proves me wrong Posted by stuarty117[/QUOTE
If you have stone cold nuts you have very little chance - funny old game innit
Wasn't sure where to post this one, but here goes. You hold a pocket pair, say KK. The turn is an innocuous 2 7 T. What are the odds of hitting a full house or better (i.e. quads) ? It sounds simple at first but I don't think it is, as when the turn card gives you a set instead of 2 pair, the numbers change. Naturally, an explanation of the math would be nice, as opposed to a computer generated figure. Bench. Posted by Benchmark
Here ya go, equity calculating the olde fashioned way.
Watch "Hand equity calculation without computer simulation" on YouTube
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you'll be right stewarty. i'm on a defo wrong streak.
Pocket Cards: KK Flop: 2 7 T
To hit our full house or quads we need to hit both the turn and the river, as we need 2 more cards.
For the turn, we need any of those cards (2 kings, three 2's, three 7's or three T's) = 11 cards
That's 11/47. Okay? All agreed so far ?
If the turn card is a K, then we need either K (for quads) , a 2, a 7 or a T = 10 Cards (10/46)
If the turn is a 2, 7 or T, we need either a K or a card to match the turn card = 4 Cards (4/46)
This is where it gets tricky...
both 10/46 and 4/46 can't be correct, so we need to allocate a factor based on how likely each is to occur.
This comes from the turn.
At the turn we have 11 outs. Two are Kings and Nine are the 2, 7 and T's.
So, the likelihood of us hitting the K is 2/11 and the likelihood of hitting a 2,7, or T is 9/11.
These ratios are then applied to the river odds
For the Full house with Kings or Quads it's (2/11)*(10/46)
For the Full house with either 2's, 7's or T's it's (9/11)*(4/46)
Both these calculations need the turn odds adding to them, making Phantom's
(11/47)*(10/46)*(2/11) + (11/47)*(4/46)*(9/11)
Bench.
Do the math?
Did you go to school in America Bench?
Math or maths is the real question here. I'm going with maths 100% of the time
phanto, you know when i said youwere wrong? sorry
it was meant to be funny/witty
my figs were meant to be rough
soz