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LAST TRIAL RUN TODAY. WETHERBY SHORTLIST AND MORNING PRICES NOW AVAILABLE
StayOrGo
Member Posts: 12,181
WETHERBY Spreadsheet below:
| DATE | SUNDAY | 23/04/17 | WETHERBY | |||
| LEG/TIME | HORSE | R-POST ODDS | OV NIGHT | MORN | LATEST | RES |
| 2.10PM 2m HcH | 01 - DEAR SIRE | 9/2 | 5/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 1ST |
| 2.10PM 2m HcH | 02 - MY MO | 5/1 | 7/1 | 10/1 | 16/1 | 3RD |
| 2.10PM 2m HcH | 03 - MONFASS | 11/2 | 7/1 | 15/2 | 5/1 | |
| 2.10PM 2m HcH | 04 - PADS | 10/1 | 8/1 | 11/1 | 7/1 | |
| 2.10PM 2m HcH | 05 - DOMTALINE | 8/1 | 10/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | |
| 2.10PM 2m HcH | 06 - KNOCKREA | 25/1 | 33/1 | 66/1 | 100/1 | |
| 2.10PM 2m HcH | 07 - ALLFREDANDNOBELL | 6/1 | 11/2 | 5/1 | 6/1 | |
| 2.10PM 2m HcH | 08 - MORTENS LEAM | 5/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 2ND |
| 2.10PM 2m HcH | 09 - SANDGATE | 14/1 | 14/1 | 25/1 | 40/1 | |
| 2.10PM 2m HcH | 10 - MAGNOLIA RIDGE | 7/1 | 9/1 | 11/2 | 13/2 | |
| 2.40PM 1m7f HcCh | 01 - HONOURABLE GENT | 1/1 | 10/11 | 6/4 | 13/8 | 1ST |
| 2.40PM 1m7f HcCh | 02 - STAR PRESENTER | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/1 | 10/1 | |
| 2.40PM 1m7f HcCh | 03 - JETHRO | 5/1 | 6/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 | |
| 2.40PM 1m7f HcCh | 04 - VODKAWELLS | 3/1 | 4/1 | 15/8 | 7/4 | |
| 3.10PM 2m3f MdH | 01 - BEYONDTHEFLAME | 100/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | |
| 3.10PM 2m3f MdH | 02 - CELESTIAL DANCER | 11/2 | 8/1 | 8/1 | 15/2 | 2ND |
| 3.10PM 2m3f MdH | 03 - COME ON LULU | 33/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | |
| 3.10PM 2m3f MdH | 04 - COOLANURE | 33/1 | 50/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | |
| 3.10PM 2m3f MdH | 05 - SHENEEDEDTHERUN | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/9 | 2/9 | 1ST |
| 3.10PM 2m3f MdH | 06 - STRANDS OF VELVET | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | |
| 3.45PM 3m HcCh | 01 - SHIMLA DAWN | 2/1 | 2/1 | 9/4 | 9/4 | |
| 3.45PM 3m HcCh | 02 - PALM GREY | 7/2 | 4/1 | 7/2 | 4/1 | 1ST |
| 3.45PM 3m HcCh | 03 - FRAMPTON | 9/2 | 4/1 | 7/2 | 11/4 | |
| 3.45PM 3m HcCh | 04 - THE CLOCK LEARY | 15/8 | 15/8 | 11/4 | 3/1 | |
| 4.20PM 2m NvH | 01 - BLUE HUSSAR | 6/4 | 6/4 | 13/8 | 7/4 | 2ND |
| 4.20PM 2m NvH | 02 - VISERION | 5/2 | 5/2 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 1ST |
| 4.20PM 2m NvH | 03 - DINSDALE | 5/2 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 3RD |
| 4.20PM 2m NvH | 04 - JACK LAMB | 20/1 | 33/1 | 50/1 | 33/1 | |
| 4.20PM 2m NvH | 05 - KING GOLAN | 100/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | |
| 4.20PM 2m NvH | 06 - MANNY OWENS | 14/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | |
| 4.20PM 2m NvH | 07 - MA PETIT LUMIER | 66/1 | 100/1 | 150/1 | 150/1 | |
| 4.20PM 2m NvH | 08 - SIR TOMMY | 33/1 | 66/1 | 100/1 | 125/1 | |
| 4.20PM 2m NvH | 09 - SUPER CHARGE | 40/1 | 66/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | |
| 4.20PM 2m NvH | 10 - THOMAS TODD | 16/1 | 18/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | |
| 4.20PM 2m NvH | 11 - MAN OF LA MANCHA | 40/1 | 50/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | |
| 4.50PM 2m5f HcCh | 01 - CROOKSTOWN | 4/1 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 5/1 | |
| 4.50PM 2m5f HcCh | 02 - MILGEN BAY | 10/1 | 14/1 | 12/1 | 14/1 | |
| 4.50PM 2m5f HcCh | 03 - STRONGLY SUGGESTED | 2/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 10/3 | 1ST |
| 4.50PM 2m5f HcCh | 04 - LEANNA BAN | 100/30 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 | |
| 4.50PM 2m5f HcCh | 05 - CHRISTMAS TWENTY | 16/1 | 20/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | |
| 4.50PM 2m5f HcCh | 06 - DARTFORD WARBLER | 9/2 | 3/1 | 5/2 | 9/4 | |
| 4.50PM 2m5f HcCh | 07 - ROSQUERO | 12/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 16/1 | 2ND |
NB: Please notify me of any additions you want put in by 11:00AM. (We are scoring this for JACKPOT ONLY)
Please choose 8 SELECTIONS of your choice from ANY of the races.
As the card is so uncompetitive we'd be looking for something unusual to happen to get a decent dividend. So I have put up a couple of horses up against the 1/5 hot pot in the 3.10, "SHENEEDEDTHERUN". Namely CELESTIAL DANCER (8/1) and STRANDS OF VELVET (10/1)
If you think we should ONLY have the banker in this race, simply make sure you have both Celestial Dancer and Strands of Velvet as TWO of your EIGHT removals.
I will pick up the additions requests at 11am and produce the updated spreadsheet (if applicable by 11.30AM) Removals baseline data will then be fully accurate.
GL
Comments
It's a roll over, so will be interesting with go-live approaching to track how the roll over's are going.
When/If someone finds out where the Jackpot meeting is on Sunday, can you please post on this thread, to give Roger and myself as much time as possible to do the preparations.
Cheers,
G
It really is imperative to get this information as soon as it is available.
Cheers,
G
2.10 Wetherby (Race 1)
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 23/04/2017 None 7/1 P 2 Allfredandnobell
2.10 Wetherby (Race 1)
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 23/04/2017 None 11/2 L 3 Mortens Leam
2.10 Wetherby (Race 1)
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 23/04/2017 None 4/1 P 4 Honourable Gent
2.40 Wetherby (Race 2)
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 23/04/2017 None 10/11 W 5 Star Presenter
2.40 Wetherby (Race 2)
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 23/04/2017 None 9/2 L 6 Sheneededtherun
3.10 Wetherby (Race 3)
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 23/04/2017 None 2/11 W 7 Shimla Dawn
3.45 Wetherby (Race 4)
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 23/04/2017 None 15/8 L 8 The Clock Leary
3.45 Wetherby (Race 4)
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 23/04/2017 None 15/8 L 9 Blue Hussar
4.20 Wetherby (Race 5)
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 23/04/2017 None 11/8 P 10 Dinsdale
4.20 Wetherby (Race 5)
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 23/04/2017 None 7/4 P 11 Manny Owens
4.20 Wetherby (Race 5)
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 23/04/2017 None 25/1 L 12 Viserion
4.20 Wetherby (Race 5)
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 23/04/2017 None 5/2 W 13 Rosquero
4.50 Wetherby (Race 6)
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 23/04/2017 None 14/1 P 14 Dartford Warbler
4.50 Wetherby (Race 6)
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 23/04/2017 None 9/4 L Multiples
However I predict 1 of 3 things will happen, in order of my opinion of most likely.
1) There will be multiple winners thus producing a low dividend (potentially less than £2K, £1K to 50p), that may not cover the cost of a large perm or pay as much as a win accumulator would. Dividend could be VERY low if most the fancied runners win.
2) One real upset occurs causing a reasonable dividend.
3) Two real upsets cause it not to be won
With scenario one being the most likely, closely followed by 2, I would perhaps consider a much smaller perm, and as Micky rightly says, it is an opportunity for a "one man band" to have a shot at it, but don't expect it to pay a fortune if you get it up.
A couple of pieces of advise I would offer to anyone having a shot at this on there own is as follows:
The opening race is by far the most open, and I would leave it as close to the off as you dare, so that you can ensure you are on the late market movers in that race. In the four runner races, I would advocate choosing from the first three in the betting as the outsider will be over-subscribed by the big perm boys that will put them all in. The favourite in these races will be over-subscribed by the one man bands, but need to have them in, but with others.
Having said that if you fancy the outsider in the four runner races, I would not put you off having it in, my advise is purely from a statistical perspective correlating the chance the horse has according to the odds and the likely representation of it in the pool.
I'll probably have a pop at it and will post my selections here.
GL!
Cheers,
G
23:30:02
Betfair Bet ID O/0786566/0000675
Allfredandnobell - Win
Best Odds Guaranteed
Mortens Leam - Win
Best Odds Guaranteed
My Mo - Win
Best Odds Guaranteed
Star Presenter - Win
Best Odds Guaranteed
Honourable Gent - Win
Best Odds Guaranteed
Sheneededtherun - Win
Best Odds Guaranteed
The Clock Leary - Win
Best Odds Guaranteed
Shimla Dawn - Win
Best Odds Guaranteed
Dinsdale - Win
Best Odds Guaranteed
Blue Hussar - Win
Best Odds Guaranteed
Viserion - Win
Best Odds Guaranteed
Manny Owens - Win
Best Odds Guaranteed
Leanna Ban - Win
Best Odds Guaranteed
Dartford Warbler - Win
Best Odds Guaranteed
Rosquero - Win
Best Odds Guaranteed
Please notify me of any additions you want put in by 11:00AM. (We are scoring this for JACKPOT ONLY)
Please choose 8 SELECTIONS of your choice from ANY of the races.
As the card is so uncompetitive we'd be looking for something unusual to happen to get a decent dividend. So I have put up a couple of horses up against the 1/5 hot pot in the 3.10, "SHENEEDEDTHERUN". Namely CELESTIAL DANCER (8/1) and STRANDS OF VELVET (10/1)
If you think we should ONLY have the banker in this race, simply make sure you have both Celestial Dancer and Strands of Velvet as TWO of your EIGHT removals. If you want to remove just one of them, that is fine.
I will pick up the additions requests at 11am and produce the updated spreadsheet (if changes are required by 11.30AM) Removals baseline data will then be fully accurate.
You can post your selections to remove at anytime, but by 11.30AM the horses listed in LIGHT BLUE will be fully complete. Initial removals to be posted no later than 1.30PM, last minute updates (in red) deadline 1.55PM.
GL!
Primarily because I am probably going to have a pop at it on my own today.
GL if you are too!
If you chose you can miss out a race or two altogether, as long as the total is 8.
Using this template from the start will make adding the scores after easier and clearer.
Please cut and paste and use below as template:
STAYORGO'S JACKPOT POINTS WERE ?? HAVING ? WINNERS FROM XX SELECTIONS.