When it was announced on June 14th that Floyd Mayweather was to come out of retirement and fight Conor McGregor many boxing experts were utterly dismissive of UFC fighter McGregor's chances. Manny Pacquiao even went as far as to question whether McGregor would be able to land a meaningful punch on Floyd. I seem to remember odds being offered in the region of 25/1 on a McGregor win with some ex-boxers chuckling at the prospect of McGregor winning. All this seemed understandable as Floyd was 49-0 and McGregor had never boxed professionally.
The fight was, and still is by many, billed as pure pantomime aimed at generating massive paydays for both stars.
The odds on McGregor have gradually shortened though. After the announcement a few days ago by the Nevada State Athletic Commission to allow 8oz gloves to be used the odds on a McGregor win have shortened further still. McGregor, the fighter many completely dismissed, was down to odds of 7/2 with some bookmakers with Mayweather drifting to 2/7.
How many fighters have fought Mayweather and been on shorter odds? I remember 5/1 being offered on Amir Khan to beat Mayweather should they ever decide to step into the ring together. If I recall correctly Saul Alverez, an unbeaten hot prospect in boxing at the time, was on similar odds to those offered on McGregor for his match up with Mayweather. So what has changed? Are the odds correct and this is actually a meaningful competitive fight afterall or are McGregor fans backing their man in droves and skewing the odds? If the latter is the case then 2/7 on Mayweather could be incredible value.
I have never watched McGregor fight live but am mildly curious as to how this will all unfold in Las Vegas next Saturday. I am still not sure whether I feel this is a genuinely massive competitive fight or a bit of pantomime best reserved for the wrestling industry. I was in the pantomime camp before but am now thrown a little by the shortening of odds on McGregor.
The cynic in me does wonder one thing though. If McGregor were to land a 'lucky punch' and beat Mayweather...
Just how much money would a rematch generate for both men?
It is certainly true that Floyd 'Money' Mayweather is not desperate for cash, although he does seem to be rather obsessed with it. However this is already expected to be the richest fight in boxing history, even when some critics are slamming the fight as pantomime. If McGregor were to 'prove the critics wrong' so to speak then it is safe to say that both men would be lined up for a rematch payday that would put the current one firmly into the shadows.
Could the possibility of a mega payday which eclipses even this one influence the outcome or am I just letting my cynical side come to the fore?
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Comments
3/10 seems incredible odds for a 49-0 fighter versus an 0-0 fighter.
Mayweather by TKO, KO or disqualification at 5/6.
Can't see this going the distance so Mayweather by KO at 8/11 looks like the bet to me.
Good post Phantom
Certainly a valid opinion and I see where you are coming from.
I just think that McGregor will be so inexperienced in the boxing ring that he will leave many gaps for Floyd to land. I think the effect of these will build up and easily allow Floyd to snag his 1st victory for 6 years by way of KO.