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variance

zenbudhistzenbudhist Member Posts: 144
i've been playing tourneys now for about 4 mounths ... is it possible to actually increase your roll playing these .. im up and down like a shagger's *rse

Comments

  • K0BAYASHlK0BAYASHl Member Posts: 2,029
    Must be able to because theres plenty of guys on here that seem to make money just playing MTT.

    Personally I prefer to play cash to fund my MTT buy ins. haha :D
  • scotty77scotty77 Member Posts: 4,970
    edited December 2017
    you probably aren't as good as you think you are.

    work on your game, read some forums, join a training site and watch your ability and your ROI improve.
  • Tikay10Tikay10 Member, Administrator, Moderator Posts: 172,247

    We have to be very careful & distinguish between variance, & not being good enough to win consistently. MTT's can be very misleading, we can bink a result & think we are the greatest, then not win a bean for 6 months. Is that variance, or are we not good enough?

    PS - well done to the OP on three nice results in the last 3 days, including 2 last night - 2nd of 120, 2nd of 59, & 7th of 126. Was that variance, or good play? Might just have been moaning it in.

  • Itsover4uItsover4u Member Posts: 1,538
    Depends how many you play. Iv had 500 game + break even / slight losing patches.... if your playing 1 or 2 mtts a night then your looking at a years worth of poker - either that or you need some subtle tweaks to your game.

    If you are struggling with any spots post them up and I am sure some good people can help
  • Tikay10Tikay10 Member, Administrator, Moderator Posts: 172,247

    i've been playing tourneys now for about 4 mounths ... is it possible to actually increase your roll playing these .. im up and down like a shagger's *rse

    4 months? If Sharky is correct, just over 2 months.

    You really can't form any realistic assumptions from such a small period of time. You may be very good, very bad, or very mediocre, but it'll be a while before you know.

    Hopefully, the results will keep coming.
  • aussie09aussie09 Member Posts: 8,033
    edited December 2017
    the figures i know are that you have been played for 3 months and you have a good cash rate of 17% from 119 major tournaments on Sky Poker.

    you also finish in the top quarter 33% of the games you play. great. you are not overly aggro compared with ability.

    you are in the top 2,000 players (of 40,000) this year by total points and with your second place on monday and final table bubble last night you're in the top 100 best players for this week.

    people often talk of variance when they should be talking about ability. scotty77 also referred to this above. you might need to re-evaluate how good you really are (i think not bad) and you will then see more good days.

    to me, explaining things away as variance will not mean that you will soon return to having good days more often. you will continue in exactly the same manner and see more of the same outcomes.

    good luck. i think you're going in the right direction. i think that you are a fair player. improvement is through learning from others here.


  • zenbudhistzenbudhist Member Posts: 144
    well thanx for that guys ... esp aussie good breakdown/analysis there, much appreciated ...right im off to see if i can moan in another result ,,, cheers zb
  • Jac35Jac35 Member Posts: 6,492
    I’m confused.
    How do you know that he is not overly aggro compared with ability Aussie?
  • bert21bert21 Member Posts: 177
    I'm really interested in where you get all the figures Aussie09 , i would love to find out my own , how do i go about finding them? I know i'm up overall but over the last couple of months seem to be hitting a brick wall in making any progress, runner runner and three outers seem to be hitting me game after game.Many thanks
  • aussie09aussie09 Member Posts: 8,033
    bert21 said:

    I'm really interested in where you get all the figures Aussie09 , i would love to find out my own , how do i go about finding them? I know i'm up overall but over the last couple of months seem to be hitting a brick wall in making any progress, runner runner and three outers seem to be hitting me game after game.Many thanks

    hi bert,

    best is go to PokerSuperHero.com/hero

    i've just had a look at your figures. i see what you mean about your recent run over the last couple of months. nevertheless, great stuff over 4 years, including this year. whatever you're doing is clearly a good thing.

    good luck.


  • bert21bert21 Member Posts: 177
    Thanks for the quick reply Aussie09, had a look at it tonight and makes interesting reading
  • K0BAYASHlK0BAYASHl Member Posts: 2,029
    aussie09 said:

    bert21 said:

    I'm really interested in where you get all the figures Aussie09 , i would love to find out my own , how do i go about finding them? I know i'm up overall but over the last couple of months seem to be hitting a brick wall in making any progress, runner runner and three outers seem to be hitting me game after game.Many thanks

    hi bert,

    best is go to PokerSuperHero.com/hero

    i've just had a look at your figures. i see what you mean about your recent run over the last couple of months. nevertheless, great stuff over 4 years, including this year. whatever you're doing is clearly a good thing.

    good luck.


    What do my figures show, I was on my phone when I checked and couldn’t make it out
  • aussie09aussie09 Member Posts: 8,033
    K0BAYASHl said:

    aussie09 said:

    bert21 said:

    I'm really interested in where you get all the figures Aussie09 , i would love to find out my own , how do i go about finding them? I know i'm up overall but over the last couple of months seem to be hitting a brick wall in making any progress, runner runner and three outers seem to be hitting me game after game.Many thanks

    hi bert,

    best is go to PokerSuperHero.com/hero

    i've just had a look at your figures. i see what you mean about your recent run over the last couple of months. nevertheless, great stuff over 4 years, including this year. whatever you're doing is clearly a good thing.

    good luck.


    What do my figures show, I was on my phone when I checked and couldn’t make it out

    hi kobay

    your alias uses a mix of numbers and letters, even though it looks like all letters. i worked out that the o was a zero etc.

    i can see your figures now. incidentally, all pages show on a mobile the same as a browser however, on my mobile, I am yet to find how to get a keyboard to enable me to enter my alias.

    your figures are good. fab play in june and october.



  • K0BAYASHlK0BAYASHl Member Posts: 2,029
    Hi yes sorry I should have said! I had trouble when I tried to sharkscope my self haha! On mobile it wouldn’t let me
    Push enter so no data would come up. Thanks!
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