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Who will be the next Country to leave the EU ?
TheEdge949
Member Posts: 5,686
in The Rail
Whilst this may give a certain poster apoplexy it's a serious question.
Assuming the UK hasn't slipped into a post apocolyptic style existance in a few years time and life is going on pretty much as normal, who do you see casting an envious glance Westward over the Channel / North Sea and thinking Hmmm, what if maybe?
Assuming the UK hasn't slipped into a post apocolyptic style existance in a few years time and life is going on pretty much as normal, who do you see casting an envious glance Westward over the Channel / North Sea and thinking Hmmm, what if maybe?
Comments
The next major political test will likely be the Netherlands. Now naturally, the people of NL are among the biggest supporters of the EU. Nevertheless, an anti-EU Party is making significant gains. However, while this may well send shockwaves throughout the EU, I think the ruling party will survive.
The bookies seem to have various favourites. The 6 considered most likely are Italy, Greece, France, Hungary, Poland and Czechia.
It will likely come down to which country votes in a Party that promises to give its electorate a free vote. And then that country deciding to leave. Particularly while their citizens and economies are suffering more than in the UK/US.
I don't think it will be any of the "Inner 6" (the original members). France would not be the first-politically impossible to be seen to be following the UK.
For me-Hungary. And not for 2-3 years.
But France and Italy will be the important ones. That and just how badly the Party currently led by Angela Merkel do in Germany's next election. Which is going to be bad.
Ultimately, the EU has let down its citizens. But, far more importantly to EU State leaders, they have let down the State leaders.
The EU may well survive. But the desire for further integration towards an EU superstate, and reliance on the EU to take the place of National Governments in decision-making has been massively reduced.
I just thought we were better in than out.
I wouldnt have a clue on which country may be next to leave.
Although I am not sure that we are a good advert for leaving.
Boris makes me laugh.
When he is in Scotland he maintains that the 4 countries of the UK are stronger together, a sentiment that he obviously doesnt think applies to the EUs 28 that was.
Our leaving was quite accidental.
David Cameron only promised a referendum because he was certain the Lib Dems would scupper it, before surprisingly winning an overall majority in the election, and was stuck with it.