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WARNING - rogue tipsters selling tips on social media
Tikay10
Member, Administrator, Moderator Posts: 169,623
I'm sure most of you know this, but NEVER subscribe to tipsters on Social Media unless they can show credible proof of their abilities & track record.
It's not hard for them to include exact bet, bet size, name of bookmaker & a copy of the betting slip. If they don't, they are usually telling porkies.
A good tipster will always be able to validate their results in a credible manner. If they can't, don't subscribe.
If you can find tipsters who show a 5% winning record over a solid sample size - at least 1,000 bets - then fine, but otherwise steer clear.
It's not hard for them to include exact bet, bet size, name of bookmaker & a copy of the betting slip. If they don't, they are usually telling porkies.
A good tipster will always be able to validate their results in a credible manner. If they can't, don't subscribe.
If you can find tipsters who show a 5% winning record over a solid sample size - at least 1,000 bets - then fine, but otherwise steer clear.
Comments
Most tipsters just straight up lie about their results. Others make multiple accounts and wait till one is in profit over a half decent sample which can happen purely due to variance. They then monetise those accounts.
Most 'mug punters' will just believe anything a tipster with some standing says, be it followers, marketing or bonuses etc, and that's how those guys can make money via affiliate links.
But more savvy sharp punters will still fall for the tipsters who show profit over a decent sample even tho those accounts are just survivors from multiple accounts and are just riding the wave of variance.
There are profitable tipsters out there, mostly on places like blogabet, but they tend to be almost exclusively much smaller markets that are really hard to get any decent money on anyway.
All in all, it's wise to not get involved with any tipsters ever, and tbh betting anywhere but exchanges is generally a bad idea with some exceptions.
If you want to beat the bookies nowadays you should not be thinking about picking winners. You should be thinking about exploiting inefficient odds and blindly betting on them. Btw, there is plenty of $ to be made doing so, even today, particularly on the newer cryptocurrency sports betting sites.
Good post @kapowblamz
In sports betting, it's always been my aim to find the value rather than look for winners. Backing a 6/4 shot at 11/10 never made any sense to me.
There are sites out there that update so slow that you can easily get 25% better odds than the value constantly.
You always end up limited tho, so you have to hit them as hard as you dare.
EDIT - Just watched the one on Skybet. I thought Merson had been left out of all the betting adverts. Not sure who i,m more shocked at - Merson for agreeing to it or Skybet for doing it
@MP33
That's a particularly good & genuine one.
@MP33
Which "Skybet one", can you be more explicit please?
Although this is about Skybet i guess it coulod be about most bookies but its still wrong. I gamble for fun but a big part of the fun is finding the best prices, but apparantly this isn,t allowed anymore.
With the money these companies make should,t they be hiring more odds compilers. Saw a programme a while back and was suprised at how few Coral had and trying to cover so many events.
Its just wrong and as he said its been ignored for years.
@MP33
Not sure what that video has to do with rogue tipsters selling tips on Social-Media?