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Who are you voting for ?.

rabdenirorabdeniro Member Posts: 4,430
in The Rail

Who are you voting for ?. 9 votes

LABOUR
66%
stokefcgoldonMISTY4MErabdeniroEssexphilDoubleme 6 votes
CONSERVATIVE
0%
LIB DEMS
22%
mumsieBean81 2 votes
SNP
0%
REFORM
0%
GREENS
11%
green_beer 1 vote
THE WELSH MOB
0%
OTHERS
0%
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Comments

  • mumsiemumsie Member Posts: 7,997
    LIB DEMS
    Tactical voting.

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  • kapowblamzkapowblamz Member Posts: 1,586
    No one. I'm not voting for anyone to be divided. People just need to work together to be humane. That idea never seems to get mentioned, tho.
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  • EssexphilEssexphil Member Posts: 8,771
    LABOUR
    Labour for me.

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  • stokefcstokefc Member Posts: 7,830
    LABOUR
    Just voted
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  • DoublemeDoubleme Member Posts: 2,147
    LABOUR
    i voted labour earlier waiting for exit poll now, not sure how reliable that is because I am not sure what methodologies they use I will know by the language they use and what they say whether to trust it or not.
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  • EssexphilEssexphil Member Posts: 8,771
    edited July 4
    LABOUR
    No poll is allowed to be published on election day until after the real polls close at 22:00.

    No poll is 100% reliable-simply because it represents how people say they have voted. Rather than how they actually did vote.

    Even so, the Exit Poll is generally accepted as being more accurate than all other opinion polls.
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  • EnutEnut Member Posts: 3,518
    @Essexphil you voted twice? Cheeky!
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  • goldongoldon Member Posts: 9,053
    LABOUR
    Hertfordshire Tory Heartland my vote has always been wasted so hope a vote for Labour will tip the balance ......
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  • DoublemeDoubleme Member Posts: 2,147
    LABOUR
    Essexphil said:

    No poll is allowed to be published on election day until after the real polls close at 22:00.

    No poll is 100% reliable-simply because it represents how people say they have voted. Rather than how they actually did vote.

    Even so, the Exit Poll is generally accepted as being more accurate than all other opinion polls.

    statistically it would be wrong for me to say I am 100% sure on something without a complete census, but with the right methodology and sampling via the central limit theorem in theory I should with a large enough unbiased sample size should be able to say that we can be confident to x% significance that the values lie between A and B. this of course will vary based on the variance of the sample the precision to which you seek and the degree of confidence and power of the test.

    I do not know much about how the exit poll is carried out so I cant comment on how reliable it is, but if done right in theory we should be able to say to a very high degree of confidence that it is reliable.
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  • stokefcstokefc Member Posts: 7,830
    LABOUR
    ^^^^^
    Eh , come again
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  • DoublemeDoubleme Member Posts: 2,147
    LABOUR
    stokefc said:

    ^^^^^
    Eh , come again

    I was working night shifts and playing poker in the evenings for money either or for the past few months and very recently got an accounts job which I have to be up at 7am for so I am sleep deprived, so if I made mistakes or said something wrong apologies I can relook when more lucid.

    or @kapowblamz can explain/what I mean there. I have no idea what his/her level of statistics education is but they do seem strong at explaining stuff in relation to that clearly.
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  • kapowblamzkapowblamz Member Posts: 1,586
    @Doubleme

    Standard deviation is very very very low on the variable concerned and that's common knowledge. Not sure what all that babble was necessary for.
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  • DoublemeDoubleme Member Posts: 2,147
    LABOUR
    kapowblamz said:

    @Doubleme

    Standard deviation is very very very low on the variable concerned and that's common knowledge. Not sure what all that babble was necessary for.

    well if thats the case then we can be very very confident of the exit poll.
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  • kapowblamzkapowblamz Member Posts: 1,586
    Labour have won, polls or not. I can't remember seeing a bigger landslide. Labour have won.
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  • Bean81Bean81 Member Posts: 590
    LIB DEMS
    Tactical vote for the Lib Dems.
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  • DoublemeDoubleme Member Posts: 2,147
    LABOUR
    kapowblamz said:

    Labour have won, polls or not. I can't remember seeing a bigger landslide. Labour have won.

    yeah I dont disagree but the concern is whether reform a far right rebranding have done well enough to stand a chance at becoming credible opposition or working their way up to government in future elections, and whether the lib dems have taken over the tories for official opposition party.

    This election is no longer really who wins it, its more who comes second third and fourth etc.
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  • green_beergreen_beer Member Posts: 1,936
    GREENS
    polls r closed......

    now the excitement starts!
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  • DoublemeDoubleme Member Posts: 2,147
    LABOUR
    wow I said it I said reform would do much better then people expected I am not happy about that would have rather been wrong there but I was right.
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