I thought this was an interesting article, in that it was - as far as I am aware - the first time Trump has acknowledged the possibility he may lose in November. It's possible it's been taken out of context, but if true, perhaps he's starting to realise the game is up.
I thought this was an interesting article, in that it was - as far as I am aware - the first time Trump has acknowledged the possibility he may lose in November. It's possible it's been taken out of context, but if true, perhaps he's starting to realise the game is up.
A 78-year-old man says he might stand in 2028 as an 82-yr-old as President, but thinks his time will have passed by then if he loses this election.
That seems entirely sensible to me. If he loses this election, the Republican Party will look to someone new for the future. That is inevitable.
Let's forget his age. And whether anyone likes or dislikes him. He will have lost 2 consecutive elections. I think the only person to get a 3rd go was Richard Nixon. Just not going to happen.
I'd be more concerned if he did not say this. Have to make plans both for victory and defeat. Same for everyone.
I thought this was an interesting article, in that it was - as far as I am aware - the first time Trump has acknowledged the possibility he may lose in November. It's possible it's been taken out of context, but if true, perhaps he's starting to realise the game is up.
I thought this was an interesting article, in that it was - as far as I am aware - the first time Trump has acknowledged the possibility he may lose in November. It's possible it's been taken out of context, but if true, perhaps he's starting to realise the game is up.
Latest poll predictions ......whilst I think Trump is the single biggest threat to world peace/stability, his breadth of 'support' is across a large part of America?.... never realised it was taking in so many states! Thank god California has a large no of votes!
For better context, we need to remember that a very large % of the US population live in a small number of States (California, Texas, Florida & New York) which tends to skew the analysis.
Very few states are actually important in this particular race.
Built-up areas with a well-educated, comparatively wealthy, electorate, tend to vote Democrat. As an example, the last time California voted Republican was Reagan.
Similarly, what might be termed "Middle America" largely votes Republican. Large areas of comparatively poor, low population density, States. Doesn't make them any less important.
Which leaves probably less than 10 States that are important.
Looking at that Map, it is clear that 241 votes (180 + 45 +16) are going the way of Harris. And 218 (142 + 6 + 70) are going to Trump.
Which means just 79 votes will really matter. And, although Harris has a lead for 62 of those, that is wafer-thin.
The only minor surprises so far are that some traditional "swing" States in the North are going the way of Harris-particularly Michigan.
IMHO the most important States are Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Georgia.
All on a knife edge. And Trump needs at least 2, and possibly all 3.
The next 3 to look out for are probably North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada
Comments
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/trump-s-hate-filled-rhetoric-and-its-violent-consequences-opinion/ar-AA1r2GXh?ocid=msedgntp&pc=NMTS&cvid=974e58d82799428fa78492408955c2f5&ei=52#fullscreen
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/untethered-trump-is-increasingly-living-in-make-believe-world-of-television-analysis/ar-AA1r2Uha?ocid=msedgntp&pc=NMTS&cvid=974e58d82799428fa78492408955c2f5&ei=61#fullscreen
I thought this was an interesting article, in that it was - as far as I am aware - the first time Trump has acknowledged the possibility he may lose in November. It's possible it's been taken out of context, but if true, perhaps he's starting to realise the game is up.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/czj9ekdvxx2o
Then again, we could view it another way - if he were to lose this November, he'd likely be locked up in Prison by & long beyond 2028.
A 78-year-old man says he might stand in 2028 as an 82-yr-old as President, but thinks his time will have passed by then if he loses this election.
That seems entirely sensible to me. If he loses this election, the Republican Party will look to someone new for the future. That is inevitable.
Let's forget his age. And whether anyone likes or dislikes him. He will have lost 2 consecutive elections. I think the only person to get a 3rd go was Richard Nixon. Just not going to happen.
I'd be more concerned if he did not say this. Have to make plans both for victory and defeat. Same for everyone.
Well it seems he actually said it himself last Friday, in an interview that has been widely aired & not disputed.
https://www.google.com/search?q=Trump+won't+run+in+2028+if+he+loses+in+2024&rlz=1C1GCEA_enGB1096GB1096&oq=Trump+won't+run+in+2028+if+he+loses+in+2024&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOTILCAEQABgWGB4YxwMyCwgCEAAYFhgeGMcDMg0IAxAAGIYDGIAEGIoFMg0IBBAAGIYDGIAEGIoFMgoIBRAAGIAEGKIEMgoIBhAAGIAEGKIEMgoIBxAAGIAEGKIEMgoICBAAGIAEGKIE0gEKMjIwMTdqMWoxNagCALACAA&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8#fpstate=ive&vld=cid:de2928c8,vid:9wLW02btXhg,st:0
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/dems-plan-to-troll-trump-with-billboards-calling-him-a-chicken-for-refusing-to-debate-harris-again/ar-AA1r3MGw?ocid=msedgntp&pc=NMTS&cvid=cc6341f713df44cd8ba4b94a0fc20be9&ei=63#fullscreen
@madprof
For better context, we need to remember that a very large % of the US population live in a small number of States (California, Texas, Florida & New York) which tends to skew the analysis.
1. California (2023 est.) 38,965,193 (2020) 39,538,223
2. Texas (2023 est.) 30,503,301 (2020) 29,145,505
3. Florida (2023 est.) 22,610,726 (2020) 21,538,187
4. New York (2023 est.) 19,571,216 (2020) 20,201,249
5. Pennsylvania (2023 est.) 12,961,683 (2020) 13,002,700
6. Illinois (2023 est.) 12,549,689 (2020) 12,812,508
7. Ohio (2023 est.) 11,785,935 (2020) 11,799,448
8. Georgia (2023 est.) 11,029,227 (2020) 10,711,908
9. North Carolina (2023 est.) 10,835,491 (2020) 10,439,388
10. Michigan (2023 est.) 10,037,261 (2020) 10,077,331
11. New Jersey (2023 est.) 9,290,841 (2020) 9,288,994
12. Virginia (2023 est.) 8,715,698 (2020) 8,631,393
13. Washington (2023 est.) 7,812,880 (2020) 7,705,281
14. Arizona (2023 est.) 7,431,344 (2020) 7,151,502
15. Tennessee (2023 est.) 7,126,489 (2020) 6,910,840
16. Massachusetts (2023 est.) 7,001,399 (2020) 7,029,917
17. Indiana (2023 est.) 6,862,199 (2020) 6,785,528
18. Missouri (2023 est.) 6,196,156 (2020) 6,154,913
19. Maryland (2023 est.) 6,180,253 (2020) 6,177,224
20. Wisconsin (2023 est.) 5,910,955 (2020) 5,893,718
21. Colorado (2023 est.) 5,877,610 (2020) 5,773,714
22. Minnesota (2023 est.) 5,737,915 (2020) 5,706,494
23. South Carolina (2023 est.) 5,373,555 (2020) 5,118,425
24. Alabama (2023 est.) 5,108,468 (2020) 5,024,279
25. Louisiana (2023 est.) 4,573,749 (2020) 4,657,757
26. Kentucky (2023 est.) 4,526,154 (2020) 4,505,836
27. Oregon (2023 est.) 4,233,358 (2020) 4,237,256
28. Oklahoma (2023 est.) 4,053,824 (2020) 3,959,353
29. Connecticut (2023 est.) 3,617,176 (2020) 3,605,944
30. Utah (2023 est.) 3,417,734 (2020) 3,271,616
31. Iowa (2023 est.) 3,207,004 (2020) 3,190,369
32. Nevada (2023 est.) 3,194,176 (2020) 3,104,614
33. Arkansas (2023 est.) 3,067,732 (2020) 3,011,524
34. Kansas (2023 est.) 2,940,546 (2020) 2,937,880
35. Mississippi (2023 est.) 2,939,690 (2020) 2,961,279
36. New Mexico (2023 est.) 2,114,371 (2020) 2,117,522
37. Nebraska (2023 est.) 1,978,379 (2020) 1,961,504
38. Idaho (2023 est.) 1,964,726 (2020) 1,839,106
39. West Virginia (2023 est.) 1,770,071 (2020) 1,793,716
40. Hawaii (2023 est.) 1,435,138 (2020) 1,455,271
41. New Hampshire (2023 est.) 1,402,054 (2020) 1,377,529
42. Maine (2023 est.) 1,395,722 (2020) 1,362,359
43. Montana (2023 est.) 1,132,812 (2020) 1,084,225
44. Rhode Island (2023 est.) 1,095,962 (2020) 1,097,379
45. Delaware (2023 est.) 1,031,890 (2020) 989,948
46. South Dakota (2023 est.) 919,318 (2020) 886,667
47. North Dakota (2023 est.) 783,926 (2020) 779,094
48. Alaska (2023 est.) 733,406 (2020) 733,391
49. Vermont (2023 est.) 647,464 (2020) 643,077
50. Wyoming (2023 est.) 584,057 (2020) 576,851
Built-up areas with a well-educated, comparatively wealthy, electorate, tend to vote Democrat. As an example, the last time California voted Republican was Reagan.
Similarly, what might be termed "Middle America" largely votes Republican. Large areas of comparatively poor, low population density, States. Doesn't make them any less important.
Which leaves probably less than 10 States that are important.
Looking at that Map, it is clear that 241 votes (180 + 45 +16) are going the way of Harris.
And 218 (142 + 6 + 70) are going to Trump.
Which means just 79 votes will really matter. And, although Harris has a lead for 62 of those, that is wafer-thin.
The only minor surprises so far are that some traditional "swing" States in the North are going the way of Harris-particularly Michigan.
IMHO the most important States are Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Georgia.
All on a knife edge. And Trump needs at least 2, and possibly all 3.
The next 3 to look out for are probably North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada
But, as things stand, it is entirely possible that all 50 States will vote in exactly the same way as they did in 2020.
It was rigged then and it will be rigged agin this year! 😉
Civil war will ensue...
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/trump-leans-into-lynching-and-white-vigilantism-as-his-campaign-comes-apart-columnist/ar-AA1r7jFo?ocid=msedgntp&pc=NMTS&cvid=ad8d01e237214d94b592c904aaee69db&ei=67#fullscreen
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/trump-quotes-shakespeare-at-rally-but-gets-it-wrong-and-says-he-has-bigger-crowds-than-churchill/ar-AA1r7kOW?ocid=msedgntp&pc=NMTS&cvid=ad8d01e237214d94b592c904aaee69db&ei=145#fullscreen
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/chaotic-flailing-marks-the-final-stage-of-the-trump-campaign-analysis/ar-AA1r7wQu?ocid=msedgntp&pc=NMTS&cvid=f4a53819d9bd4ad8ae427b9f98cb812e&ei=12#fullscreen