So Today was a big day for Mrs double me today due to money coming in from different sources she was able to get her christmas present early an XBOX which she has missed terribly after her original XBOX broke. She was very excited as we were picking it up and was bouncing around like a an excited school girl.
I also decided to sneakly take a dive into US election news the polling data and my own statistical analysis when it was a slow day at work
prepare for a shock.....
after looking at the polling data and doing my own statistical analysis I had to follow the math and result at a shocking conclusion
I had to conclude that Kamala actually stands a real chance I would still say the Trump is the favourite but I think his chances are over inflated at the bookies for some reason and therefore It makes sense to..... Bet on Kamala
Just my opinion I dont claim to be an expert so if you decide to make bets at your own risk dont blame me. Basically I still think that Kamala is the under dog but I think they have a better chance then they are been given by the bookies so if I am right a bet has a positive expectation hence I will be betting on Kamala.
the odds are not competitive on sky for Kamala last time I checked but I think the odds sky offer for Kamala in Florida are more competitive and I dont have money on the bookie sites that have slightly better odds for that. I think the odds stated are about right for Florida based on the numbers however I think Kamala stands more chance there because of the abortion issue been on the ballot. so I will likely bet on Kamala florida on skybet.
I am still terrified of the election and a trump win but I now realize its not done yet Kamala really does have a chance. I would probably say about the same chance as AQ off suit has against 99 so some new found hope I guess.
Comments
So I did it I think its less likely then likely to come in but still think its more likely then the odds stated.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=apfNvHA7rjY
I still fear the worse but I guess I have found hope and am holding onto that, I guess I will likely be punished for this.
Just show me the aliens and I can be at peace with mankind going extinct.