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Odds and draws and stuff I'm too lazy to learn...

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Comments

  • waynecwaynec Member Posts: 1,023
    edited August 2010
    UL Dohhhhhhh I think your call was still correct
  • TopTopGunTopTopGun Member Posts: 96
    edited August 2010
    Heres the odds,

    Hove: 55 60%
    Donn: 48 10%
    You: K4h 30%
  • ybyb Member Posts: 1,471
    edited August 2010
    @ Dohh, I'm pretty sure your hand plays better against the flopped nuts than a set
  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH Member Posts: 17,929
    edited August 2010

    If I only had a flush draw, and it was only the king high fd, Id instantly fold......

    So if he has the nuts, id fold for sure.

    Wud u call here yb?
  • ybyb Member Posts: 1,471
    edited August 2010
    We'd still have 6 extra outs for the split though.

    I think I should fold here against this opponent because as you say the worst he shows up with is 33, but in the heat of the moment with oesd + 2nd nfd I'd probably call. But I think for us to have the correct odds we really need dunn to overcall behind so it depends how you think he'd play his draws?

    We need about 41.7% equity I think and this is what we got 2 way:

    Hand 0:     40.488%      37.61%     02.88%               5585           427.50   { Kh4h }
    Hand 1:     59.512%      56.63%     02.88%               8410           427.50   { 66-55, 33, 74s, 42s }


    But in reality we probably have a bit less equity than this as dunn could have 2 of our outs if he's on the fd also.



  • beanehbeaneh Member Posts: 4,079
    edited August 2010
    How can you not use pokerstove/do basic maths dohhh?!


    This is a simple maths problem where reads allow you to make your decision.
  • Amazing286Amazing286 Member Posts: 9
    edited August 2010
    Taking a guess I reckon the flop raise is probably bad but that's just my 2 cents.
  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH Member Posts: 17,929
    edited August 2010

    I don't think I play enough poker to worry about something so marginal then.....

    If its really close (roughly I'm getting the right price) then, I think I shud just call, and win it back if I miss.

    As long as it's not a "horrid" call then Im okay with that. Shame I missed tho!! agh.
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