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X | Small blind | 10.00 | 10.00 | 5260.00 | |
notaclue2 | Big blind | 20.00 | 30.00 | 5010.00 | |
Your hole cards |
| ||||
weemallet | Call | 20.00 | 50.00 | 5080.00 | |
lucky77777 | Fold | ||||
TVSpice | Call | 20.00 | 70.00 | 4780.00 | |
Dudeskin8 | Raise | 140.00 | 210.00 | 4710.00 | |
X | Call | 130.00 | 340.00 | 5130.00 | |
notaclue2 | Fold | ||||
weemallet | Fold | ||||
TVSpice | Call | 120.00 | 460.00 | 4660.00 | |
Flop | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||
X | Bet | 230.00 | 690.00 | 4900.00 | |
TVSpice | Fold | ||||
Dudeskin8 | Call | 230.00 | 920.00 | 4480.00 | |
Turn | |||||
| |||||
X | Bet | 920.00 | 1840.00 | 3980.00 | |
Dudeskin8 |
Comments
Flop could mean anything, you may have connected or not, he has no idea what you have still. That turn bet however, defines your hand a lot more- he could still have air, but if you call or raise, you've almost 100% got a big part of it- not necessarily a set, but a king with strong kicker, bare minimum- more likely a strong A or 2 pair he'd put you on (assuming he's half decent).
With that in mind, if you call- he's unlikely to make any bet on the river unless he improves dramatically- which you may well not want, if he improves to a straight/flush- that turn has brought in very possible gutshots and a flush. I'd definitely raise and either shut the pot down now, or get more money in if he has a draw which he's willing to commit to- I'd have to raise it up to around 2000-2500 though. Calling will give away your hand anyway, meaning a busted draw river bluff is fairly unlikely.
With that in mind, what could he have- if he has a big ace, he might accomodate you. A king, not so likely. Any kind of gutshot- very unlikely, though if he has any combination of QJ10 diamonds, or perhaps 87 diamonds, he may make a loose call, hoping to bink on the river.
I think at this early stage, I'm happy to take down a pot that increases my stack by 30% or so and move on, no need to slowplay this and take a small risk of going broke versus an almost non-existant chance of getting more out of him.
I like the minraise dude, gives him enough room to shove over the top if he is drawing, but I do think you're struggling to get paid here unless he's holding 2 pair or more.