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To bet or not to bet...

DeucesLiveDeucesLive Member Posts: 839
edited November 2010 in The Poker Clinic
Not my favourite hand here to be honest. I had a tight image, having played very few hands, but my c-bet frequency on flops was 100%- so I was kind of looking for the call. But having been called, I had a strong idea he had top pair from the way he had been playing, though a flush draw was also well within range. The turn, therefore, was a very ugly card and by the river I'm just about certain I'm beat, and have no problem folding in a deepstack structure. I might have paid off a smaller river bet, but in honesty there were almost no hands I was beating.

Key here is the turncard. What's the best play here? I guess I probably should be betting here, but I was too committed to my read of him having top pair, it just seemed to fit. Looking back, I think it's more likely he was on flush draw. If you do bet, how much- and do you fold to a reraise? How much would you have to be reraised to either get involved or fold?
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
DeucesLive Small blind   40.00 40.00 4610.00
loonytoons Big blind   80.00 120.00 8605.00
  Your hole cards
  • A
  • A
     
Mylena Fold        
xxxx Call   80.00 200.00 3730.00
buzzzz666 Fold        
DeucesLive Raise   280.00 480.00 4330.00
loonytoons Fold        
xxxx Call   240.00 720.00 3490.00
Flop
   
  • J
  • 3
  • 8
     
DeucesLive Bet   480.00 1200.00 3850.00
xxxx Call   480.00 1680.00 3010.00
Turn
   
  • J
     
DeucesLive Check        
xxxx Check        
River
   
  • 4
     
DeucesLive Check        
xxxx Bet   840.00 2520.00 2170.00
DeucesLive Fold        
xxxx Muck        
xxxx Win   1680.00   3850.00
xxxx Return   840.00 0.00 4690.00
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