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A strange way of making a profit - Thoughts?

TommyDTommyD Member Posts: 4,389
edited April 2011 in The Poker Clinic
Hey guys

While playing the D/S last night I was playing a NLHE $1/$2 Cash game on another site (you see them in the sky at night, well, unless you live in London).

I was playing a villain who I've played a lot, loads in fact.  I know the guy inside out.  He's a weird fish.  Detailed notes on him, basically he's an ego merchant.  He can't play the game really but it all depends on his start.  If he busts his original buy in early he disappears but if he has an early good run he'll keep reloading after his first bust out believing he's better than the table IMO and trying to get the profit back.

It's about the sixth or seventh hand in and long story short, I flop a flush draw and turn a royal.  WOOHOO!  I thought. We get 90% of the stacks in (I had him covered by just under $100).  Then I read the notes I have on him again, as detailed above.  He shoves the river for $20 odd and I decide for some reason it's more profitable to fold.  Obviously I have the nuts but I think it's really +ev to give him some confidence, get him a near double up and keep him at the table long term to spew 9 or 10 buy ins as he has a history of doing this.

Thoughts on this 5th level thinking?  Can you fold a royal flush here looking at long term EV rather than the one hand?
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Comments

  • N1CKN1CK Member Posts: 1,453
    edited April 2011
    are you serious?  you cant guarantee he stays and that you get more money long term as there is 4 other players looking to take his money, if you were on a HU table and your reads were concrete then maybe but take the easy money while its there and move on to your next target, your thinking is ridic imo
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  • CLIOKIDCLIOKID Member Posts: 783
    edited April 2011
    Lol you iz mental.
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  • AcidMan27AcidMan27 Member Posts: 3,752
    edited April 2011
    AHDBFJDBFVNDJGFVNGFJFKFNFNFJFVBNGTEGHRYHJTRHBLEURGH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    I understand completely. Nice play.
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  • LOL_RAISELOL_RAISE Member Posts: 2,188
    edited April 2011
    i would LOL so hard if he hit and ran you
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  • thorpey1thorpey1 Member Posts: 165
    edited April 2011
    method in ur madness ni
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  • CLIOKIDCLIOKID Member Posts: 783
    edited April 2011
    In Response to Re: A strange way of making a profit - Thoughts?:
    i would LOL so hard if he hit and ran you
    Posted by LOL_RAISE
    Or stays and coolers or sucks out on Tommy - then leaves!

    The only certainty in this situation is that you are chucking away a big pot.

    Of course there is possibility he stays and you get more but it's only a possibility.

    He could give his money elsewhere before you get a chance to get any of it back and get back to even let alone back into profit.

    Obviously method behind it but very risky.

    Take the phree money that's already on offer and hope he reloads.
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  • logdonlogdon Member Posts: 1,777
    edited April 2011
    Royal Flushes are over-rated instant fold.!!
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  • AcidMan27AcidMan27 Member Posts: 3,752
    edited April 2011
    I really hope I was correct in thinking this was an April Fool.

    It's after 12 now so i'm allowed to spoil the party if it was.


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  • CLIOKIDCLIOKID Member Posts: 783
    edited April 2011
    In Response to Re: A strange way of making a profit - Thoughts?:
    I really hope I was correct in thinking this was an April Fool. It's after 12 now so i'm allowed to spoil the party if it was.
    Posted by AcidMan27
    Totally forgot about that.

    WP if it is an april fool. Had me hooked.
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  • AMYBRAMYBR Member Posts: 3,432
    edited April 2011
    I like the thinking "shear a sheep many times", but its not something that I would ever do.  Like someone else says, he clicks sit out, your not going to feel very good.
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  • CrazyBen23CrazyBen23 Member Posts: 865
    edited April 2011
    hahaha epic april fools joke!
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  • AArodAAAArodAA Member Posts: 18
    edited April 2011
    In Response to A strange way of making a profit - Thoughts?:
    Hey guys While playing the D/S last night I was playing a NLHE $1/$2 Cash game on another site (you see them in the sky at night, well, unless you live in London). I was playing a villain who I've played a lot, loads in fact.  I know the guy inside out.  He's a weird fish.  Detailed notes on him, basically he's an ego merchant.  He can't play the game really but it all depends on his start.  If he busts his original buy in early he disappears but if he has an early good run he'll keep reloading after his first bust out believing he's better than the table IMO and trying to get the profit back. It's about the sixth or seventh hand in and long story short, I flop a flush draw and turn a royal.  WOOHOO!  I thought. We get 90% of the stacks in (I had him covered by just under $100).  Then I read the notes I have on him again, as detailed above.  He shoves the river for $20 odd and I decide for some reason it's more profitable to fold.  Obviously I have the nuts but I think it's really +ev to give him some confidence, get him a near double up and keep him at the table long term to spew 9 or 10 buy ins as he has a history of doing this. Thoughts on this 5th level thinking?  Can you fold a royal flush here looking at long term EV rather than the one hand?
    Posted by TommyD
    This is the best one I have seen on any of the forums today.
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  • thorpey1thorpey1 Member Posts: 165
    edited April 2011
    GOT ME N1
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  • donkeyplopdonkeyplop Member Posts: 3,795
    edited April 2011
    Really? I knew from the second line it was an April fools joke!
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  • delaney09delaney09 Member Posts: 1,145
    edited April 2011
    haha if it was past midday when you posted this i would of believed but nice try lol
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  • N1CKN1CK Member Posts: 1,453
    edited April 2011
    iv been sooo pwnd didnt even know it was April 1st lolz wp gg
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  • goldenb238goldenb238 Member Posts: 338
    edited April 2011
    nearly had me there lol
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  • TommyDTommyD Member Posts: 4,389
    edited April 2011
    Was looking forward to reading this tonight, got me through work :)

    Yes indeed it was an April Fools Joke.  Fold a Royal, I can't even fold a pair.

    Personal fave was lol_Raise Lol-ing at me which made me lol.  That's a whole lot of lol.

    gg, wp all, just a bit of fun :)
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