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Over pair on flop - what to do next?

silentbobsilentbob Member Posts: 2,137
edited May 2011 in The Poker Clinic
I'd never come across this oppo before this evening but if I was him I'd be rushing out to buy a lottery ticket!

He's been at the table around 20 minutes or so & in that time I've seen him raising & calling an all in with underpairs twice & overcards once & hit every time (he was behind all three times).

So what do you do against his raise on the flop? I donked out because I thought it was highly likely I was ahead & I wouldn't be too unhappy about taking it down there & then & tbh I felt there was a strong chance I was still ahead even after the raise. That's partly because of what I'd seen previously & partly because I just had a gut feeling (I can't really explain it but I'm sure you know what I mean!). I just felt that his raise was weak.

Do you re-raise here? If I re-raise then I'm pretty much committing myself to the hand, right? Flat? That just gives him a chance to outdraw me if he's got overs. The only other option is folding but I don't really like that based on my previous statement.
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
 Small blind  £0.02 £0.02 £1.54
silentbob Big blind  £0.04 £0.06 £4.94
 Your hole cards
  • 9
  • 9
   
OPPO Raise  £0.20 £0.26 £7.76
 Fold     
 Fold     
 Fold     
silentbob Call  £0.16 £0.42 £4.78
Flop
  
  • 5
  • 3
  • 8
   
silentbob Bet  £0.42 £0.84 £4.36
OPPO Raise  £0.84 £1.68 £6.92
silentbob ???    

Comments

  • SHANXTASHANXTA Member Posts: 1,507
    edited May 2011
    normally i wudnt 3bet the flop as ud b foldin out everythin that u beat + bluffs, and only gettin called by better

    mite b diff vs this villain thou
  • grantorinograntorino Member Posts: 4,710
    edited May 2011
    dont donk unless you intend going broke. I would happily do so against this dude, I just stick the rest in
  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH Member Posts: 17,929
    edited May 2011
    99 is enough to get all the money in against this guy, so thats our mission........

    How best to do it? How did he stack off previously? (in the pots he sucked out in)

    Probably best to raise to 2.50 or something and call it off, but another click raise might let him spa/zz, or the shove might have worked previously?

    You must have some sort of read, to decide how best to get it in?
  • pod1pod1 Member Posts: 4,377
    edited May 2011
    im putting it all in here to. phil
  • silentbobsilentbob Member Posts: 2,137
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: Over pair on flop - what to do next?:
    99 is enough to get all the money in against this guy, so thats our mission........ How best to do it? How did he stack off previously? (in the pots he sucked out in) Probably best to raise to 2.50 or something and call it off, but another click raise might let him spa/zz, or the shove might have worked previously? You must have some sort of read, to decide how best to get it in?
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH
    On two occasions he 3-bet called the AI but I can't remember the other one, just remember seeing the result!
  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH Member Posts: 17,929
    edited May 2011
    When theres a big pot thats had 2 players go to showdown, open the HH and when u get a minute go thru each street for each player and note anything worth noting.

    I think a shove, or a smaller raise with a view to snapping it off are both fine.
  • Dudeskin8Dudeskin8 Member Posts: 6,228
    edited May 2011
    Yh with those brief reads you've mentioned above it's a snap shove for me.
  • TINTINTINTIN Member Posts: 1,612
    edited May 2011
    im shipping it in, if he has bigger then so be it,
  • The_Don90The_Don90 Member Posts: 9,814
    edited May 2011
    my moneys in too.
  • LOL_RAISELOL_RAISE Member Posts: 2,188
    edited May 2011
    if he opens to 5x with everything id prob just try and get it in preflop
  • YOUNG_GUNYOUNG_GUN Member Posts: 8,948
    edited May 2011
    Ill shove, i think we're good and i think he's a .... so get in in!
  • The_Don90The_Don90 Member Posts: 9,814
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: Over pair on flop - what to do next?:
    if he opens to 5x with everything id prob just try and get it in preflop
    Posted by LOL_RAISE
    good point actually.

  • grantorinograntorino Member Posts: 4,710
    edited May 2011
    I think if Im trying to get it in pre I just 3bet shove, cos if he flats a normal sized 3bet (which I expect he will a lot), its often going to be pretty difficult postflop. Might be ok if you have the balls to call him down very light
  • silentbobsilentbob Member Posts: 2,137
    edited May 2011
    Thanks for all the feedback peeps. 

    I did shove & he snapped me off with AK (& binked but never mind). I felt I was ahead & knew he was a bit of a gambler & although the outcome wasn't what I would've liked at least I feel more comfortable knowing I did the right thing in the long run.
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