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Sick river - villain has 2% equity

GaryQQQGaryQQQ Member Posts: 6,804
edited May 2011 in Brags, Beats and Variance
I'm still running bad in MTTs, as demonstrated by this hand.

In this Bounty Hunter tournament I'm chip leader, the villain in this hand is second in chips. We get it all-in on the turn. There is 22K in the pot, the average stack is less than 5K. He is drawing to 2 outs for the chop, Pokerstove tells me he has 2.2% equity. He can't win the hand. He gets there and we chop.

PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
rauris Small blind  40.00 40.00 7645.00
heapey0015 Big blind  80.00 120.00 10960.00
  Your hole cards
  • Q
  • 10
     
legascaac Fold     
pet1 Fold     
GaryQQQ Raise  160.00 280.00 10875.00
rauris Fold     
heapey0015 Call  80.00 360.00 10880.00
Flop
   
  • K
  • J
  • 3
     
heapey0015 Check     
GaryQQQ Bet  240.00 600.00 10635.00
heapey0015 Raise  1080.00 1680.00 9800.00
GaryQQQ Call  840.00 2520.00 9795.00
Turn
   
  • 9
     
heapey0015 Bet  2520.00 5040.00 7280.00
GaryQQQ All-in  9795.00 14835.00 0.00
heapey0015 Call  7275.00 22110.00 5.00
heapey0015 Show
  • 10
  • K
   
GaryQQQ Show
  • Q
  • 10
   
River
   
  • Q
     
heapey0015 Win Straight to the King 11055.00  11060.00
GaryQQQ Win Straight to the King 11055.00  11055.00

Comments

  • AMYBRAMYBR Member Posts: 3,432
    edited May 2011
    Min bet the button, yuk.
  • GaryQQQGaryQQQ Member Posts: 6,804
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: Sick river - villain has 2% equity:
    Min bet the button, yuk.
    Posted by AMYBR
    Perfect against this guy. He's been defending his big blind 100% of the time with any two cards to 2.5x and 3x opens. My raise gets the SB out of the way and I get to play a pot against a mega-fish in position with a medium strength hand for a cheap price.
  • AMYBRAMYBR Member Posts: 3,432
    edited May 2011
    Fair argument.  The min bet pre is just one of my pet hates, really grinds on my nerves.

    Looking at the hand the other way tho, your min bet is called by a dominating hand, could have spelt all kinds of trouble but ends up a chop.  5% river surely? Qh +Qc?.

    The journey is a tad gross :)
  • Dudeskin8Dudeskin8 Member Posts: 6,228
    edited May 2011
    Yh minraise pre is ugly and tbh I don't like the flop call.
  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH Member Posts: 17,929
    edited May 2011
    Hmmmm what's wrong w/ the min raise?

    I'd prob make it 180/200 .... ? But not much difference.

    Flop call is questionable but if you think he puts the lot in w/top pair if u get there, your implied odds can justify it.

    And obv u cnt fold if the turn is A/9 of spades if u're calling the flop, and u didnt, so fair doos.

    All looks ok to meeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
  • GaryQQQGaryQQQ Member Posts: 6,804
    edited May 2011
    I usually avoid criticising opponents, but I need to point out that the villain in this hand was a pre-flop calling station who'd built his stack by getting very lucky more than once after getting his chips in light, as you can see he considers top pair to be the nuts. His method of play got him eliminated from the tournament soon after this hand, unfortunately it wasn't me who got to relieve him of his stack. You won't see me using button min-raises ordinarily, it was the best play this time because the villain was defending his BB against any raise size from any position, my bet size was chosen purely to get the SB out of the pot, which it succesfully did. As for the flop call, I had 3/1 immediate odds with much higher implied odds, I'm deep enough to make that call and it's a price worth paying when I know I'm probably going to get the guys stack and bounty if I hit one of my outs, also I'd have the luxury of a stack 3x bigger than anybody else in the tournament.
  • LOL_RAISELOL_RAISE Member Posts: 2,188
    edited May 2011
    id rather minrase vs nits and make it 3/4x vs loose players but run better!
  • AMYBRAMYBR Member Posts: 3,432
    edited May 2011
    Really?  I just hate the min, it gives you the betting lead but offers no protection.  It just really grinds on me.
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