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I don't think anybody on the site can be running worse than me at the moment (apart from DuecesLive,
GaryQQQ
Member Posts: 6,804
My month-long MTT downswing continues (across sites, not confined to Sky). I thought I'd try my luck the 9-45 and 10-45 £3.30 Bounty Hunter tournaments this morning. These two exit hands that occured within a couple of minutes of each other and are typical of my current run of luck. Variance is really biting me on the bum at the moment.
Hand 1 (9-45) - We've been playing for an 1 & 3/4 hours, I'm in 5th/17 from 85 entrants, 10 get paid. This pot is played against the runaway chip leader, I get it in on the flop with 80% equity for a pot that will move me up to 2nd in chips, my equity increase to 88.7% on the turn, my opponent rivers one of his 6 outs to win the pot and eliminate me.
Hand 2 (10-45) - I get it all-in on the flop with TPTK and 86.7% equity against an underpair. By the turn I have 95.5% equity, then my opponent manages to river a 2-outer to eliminate me.
Hand 1 (9-45) - We've been playing for an 1 & 3/4 hours, I'm in 5th/17 from 85 entrants, 10 get paid. This pot is played against the runaway chip leader, I get it in on the flop with 80% equity for a pot that will move me up to 2nd in chips, my equity increase to 88.7% on the turn, my opponent rivers one of his 6 outs to win the pot and eliminate me.
Hand 2 (10-45) - I get it all-in on the flop with TPTK and 86.7% equity against an underpair. By the turn I have 95.5% equity, then my opponent manages to river a 2-outer to eliminate me.
| Player | Action | Cards | Amount | Pot | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bellboy2 | Small blind | 200.00 | 200.00 | 30195.00 | |
| GaryQQQ | Big blind | 400.00 | 600.00 | 8925.00 | |
| Your hole cards |
| ||||
| martin111 | Fold | ||||
| craigkebab | Fold | ||||
| CJ111 | Fold | ||||
| winder500 | Fold | ||||
| bellboy2 | Call | 200.00 | 800.00 | 29995.00 | |
| GaryQQQ | Raise | 1000.00 | 1800.00 | 7925.00 | |
| bellboy2 | Call | 1000.00 | 2800.00 | 28995.00 | |
| Flop | |||||
| |||||
| bellboy2 | Bet | 1200.00 | 4000.00 | 27795.00 | |
| GaryQQQ | All-in | 7925.00 | 11925.00 | 0.00 | |
| bellboy2 | Call | 6725.00 | 18650.00 | 21070.00 | |
| bellboy2 | Show |
| |||
| GaryQQQ | Show |
| |||
| Turn | |||||
| |||||
| River | |||||
| |||||
| bellboy2 | Win | Two Pairs, Jacks and 10s | 18650.00 | 39720.00 | |
| Player | Action | Cards | Amount | Pot | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wayne1966 | Small blind | 15.00 | 15.00 | 2185.00 | |
| sjb10000 | Big blind | 30.00 | 45.00 | 1615.00 | |
| Your hole cards |
| ||||
| tednet | Fold | ||||
| mel1961 | Fold | ||||
| Ivey920 | Fold | ||||
| GaryQQQ | Raise | 90.00 | 135.00 | 1672.50 | |
| wayne1966 | Raise | 315.00 | 450.00 | 1870.00 | |
| sjb10000 | Fold | ||||
| GaryQQQ | Call | 240.00 | 690.00 | 1432.50 | |
| Flop | |||||
| |||||
| wayne1966 | Bet | 600.00 | 1290.00 | 1270.00 | |
| GaryQQQ | All-in | 1432.50 | 2722.50 | 0.00 | |
| wayne1966 | Call | 832.50 | 3555.00 | 437.50 | |
| wayne1966 | Show |
| |||
| GaryQQQ | Show |
| |||
| Turn | |||||
| |||||
| River | |||||
| |||||
| wayne1966 | Win | Three 10s | 3555.00 | 3992.50 | |
Comments
QQ vs K2 (raised big pre K10556 (3LC)
A9 vs A3 AAK83 (6%)
AQ vs AJ AJJ52 (3LC)
AJ vs K7 A4K57 (10%)
A10 vs K7 A105KK (6%)
AA vs 99 Q862 9 (4.4%)
AJ vs 55 JJ97 5 (4.4%)
AQ vs 77 AQ487 (4.4% back to back hands)
AA vs AK 10JQA5 (ridiculous)
AA vs 88 vs 87 A8564 (17%)
AA vs 67 8925K (17%)
AAvs JQ 10K479 (3%)
KK vs 67 67104A (?)
Mix in a dozen or so gut shot insane hits + bad 2 prs on river. These are a mixture of live and online. Just really awful hands as your going broke on virtually all of them, given strength of hand till river spawn card shows up. Am a big fan of pot control, but know real reason to pot control these hands, just looking to extract. Have lost the best part of 3K in last 9 days, s am pretty sure I'd give you a run for your money running bad wise.
Hope it turns round for you bud.
chin up and keep grinding.
Unlucky Gary, I feel your pain. I must of been bubble boy more times than anyone on here in the last 6 months but know, like you, are not doing anything drastically wrong. Hang in there mate and I hope it turns around for you soon. It better for me or I will have to get a milk round to make ends meet, and I ain't a morning person!, lol.
BTW...The 'rule according to area51' is that in a B/H (regardless of actual cards), the bigger chip stack ALWAYS wins. Hope this helps
Interestingly, your called my marginal hands in real marginal spots in these hands (other than last). Solid thinking poker out there
Could I ask why you went all-in on the first two?
Also, bad luck on 3rd. Had that happen to me last week and I don't play anywhere near the number of hands you play!!
p
Not trying to hijack your question, but was about to start a thread regarding people limping short stack in Tournaments.
So am not answering your question but sincerely put a question to you, as I think your likely the perfect candidate to answer it. Questions being (1) why wouldnt you go all with those hands?, (2) why wouldnt you go allin in that position? (3) why wouldnt you go all wiith those stacks?
Sincere Q's as I've seen people doing this a lot lately, I have my opinion but would love to hear your thinking before I put my thoughts out there (if thats ok).
Thanks for posting Dueces, I don't feel quite so bad now I know I'm not alone, that AA v AA hand in particular is sick.
I'm trying to stay philosophical, all I can do is get my chips in good, bad luck can't last forever. I feel like I'm not tilting and still playing well, my roll has taken quite a hit lately but it's still in pretty good shape. I keep reminding myself that despite this run I've made a 4-figure profit so far this year, not bad for a low stakes recreational player. When my cards start holding as often as they should and I can win my fair share of flips I know I'll be back to winning ways.
Having said that I've gone all-in recently oop with 30BB's with 98o! lol
I know, position, position, position!!
Pad (doused in petrol! apply match and walk away!)
But your risking more by limping in the longrun, I really cant imagine why anybody wouldnt be allin, or worse still, limp into the pot. Limping with 5 or 6 BB's is just unthinkable to me, yet I'm seeing it constantly.
Heck, maybe its me thats wrong though
I'm guessing "over time" your way is best?
P
Pad
Pad