My reads on villain are that he is fairly tight and his 3 betting range therefore will only normally be big hands.
I have been playing fairly loose so this is the perfect time to pick up aces. I know you are going to say, bet the flop, but i am happy to get it in on the flop (if he bets, and i think he probably will unless he has QQ) My question is regarding the turn/river.
Did i play this like a passive donk? over time will i lose money playing this cautious or did i play it spot on? (im hoping the latter!)
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance92boi Small blind £0.10 £0.10 £34.53 saints01 Big blind £0.20 £0.30 £19.12 Your hole cards A A debdobs_67 Fold millster Fold GREGHOGG Raise £0.60 £0.90 £45.49 XXXRaise £1.40 £2.30 £33.65 92boi Fold saints01 Fold GREGHOGG Raise £4.20 £6.50 £41.29 XXXCall £3.40 £9.90 £30.25 Flop 5 6 Q GREGHOGG Check XXXCheck Turn 9 GREGHOGG Check XXX Bet £7.43 £17.33 £22.82 GREGHOGG Call £7.43 £24.76 £33.86 River K GREGHOGG Check XXXBet £18.57 £43.33 £4.25 GREGHOGG Fold XXX Show Q Q XXXWin £23.52 £27.77 XXX Return £18.57 £1.24 £46.34
0 ·
Comments
how many hands with the villain have you played? also how long had you both been at the table, was he playing his usual game?
I dont think i can fold here as generally ost people will stack of with AQ/AK here at nl20, i reckon he has AK
Think we were both at the table for a while
i realise most would bet the flop and i normally would, but vs this villain i chose to take a different line. glad i did based on the result (he had QQ)
Oh and i fold the river cos i think he has to have QQ or KK alot of the time based on the pre-flop action.
I dont really see that there's a great deal wrong. Dont even mind the check on the flop its pretty dry, if you've been coolered, you've been coolered, a free card here wont change a great deal with the pre flop action.
Its a very well diciplined fold, using opponents range especially well.
I think given your read and feel for opponent Its just about right. I think you likely know you play the hand different vs a host of players, but the idea that every hand has to be played in a vacuum has never sat right with me.
Having checked flop surely you must bet the turn, don't you want to win moniez ?
When you do check, he bets makes it £17.33 in the middle with £22 behind, I just shovle my stack into the middle here and get called by KK maybe JJ/1010.
I might flat the 3bet pre, 4betting is fine but if your image is tight I probably prefer flatting as 4betting oop this deep looks superstrong
bet flop
Definitely bet turn
As played you can maybe fold but I hate how you got there and I prob call because I think he can have AK
2. I didnt under rep my hand preflop. On the turn, if i bet and get raised, I am hating it cos he didnt bet the flop so i decide to c/c to keep things under control vs a passive villain. remember i have him on a narrow range. (perhaps this is my mistake and i should look to get it in??!)
3. I think I would have bet the river on a safish card. hopefully bet folded, but it woulda been tough!
this is why i played the hand wierd!
but yes the vast majority of the time i am value betting the flop and turn, and looking to get it in vs the usual 20nl randoms.
also if he had KK he is most likely to bet the flop surely. but people do play wierd sometimes which is why i c/c turn.
In summary, playing OOP sucks, whether you have Aces or not!!
i still agree with what i said earlier, ESPECIALLY as you said you havent played alot of hands with how can you narrow his range down to QQ/KK, how can you be sure he doesnt have AK here??
I would bet out flop also
I do prefer the lead on the flop in honesty but you got the information you wanted by checking it seems, and therefore that allows you to suss a narrow range to almost 1 hand.
Even the fact that you have him on KK/QQ and both have sets on the river aswell makes it a far easier fold IMO. Youve said this guy is SUPER NITTY so therefore, 100% WP from me mate.
AA - Very Unlikley
AK - Possible
KK - Possible
QQ - Possible
Ive put AA as very unlikley due to HERO having Aces. So then we have 3 hands we're potentially playing v a SNIT and i think therefore Greg;s fold is profitable over time. IMO.
Greg I cant see why he cant check KK on flop. Yeah he might bet it, he might also bet QQ
QQ 3combos
KK 3combos
AK 6 combos
Also we only need about 30% equity
We break even on the call and are getting more than 2/1. Now you can argue certain combos more likely than others etc, but weigthed equally its a hugely profitable call
I think he has AK often enough to make the call the way the hand played out given the odds we are getting. He mighteven show up with worse an odd time given how weakly greg played hand postflop