6-max 25NL action

percival09

UTG limps 0.25 ($24.05)

villain (CO) limps 0.25 ($50.45)

hero (BB) raises to $1.50 with KhKd ($30.12) 

UTG folds

villain calls $1.25 - pot $3.35

flop: 4h 10h 2s

hero bets $2.10 

villain calls $2.10 - pot $7.55

turn: 7h

hero bets $5.10 ($21.42)

villain raises to $17.66 and has effectively put hero all in

Villains stats are 20/11 (which is loose/passiveish) .. folds to flop Cbet 72% of time, these are from over 500 hands so they are quite accurate

Hero 13/11 so relatively tight image, pretty sure i've literally only played one or two hands before this one, was within first half an hour of sitting down

Fold or All In? I'll post my reasoning and what I did later! 

 

iBLUFF

I go all in here, i think were ahead and even if were not we have outs (unless he has the nut flush).

PiAnOpLaYa

i think i call. 

esp with the heart redraw even if we need it

grantorino

fold.  20/11 isnt that loose, its pretty passive though.What hands do you think you have enough equity against to get it in with here that he plays that way?

Codex

the fact he limps pre and calls raise looks like like a set to me but could also be a made flush

half the pots he enters he hasn't raised tho - you need to have been at the table to know why - if he limps after an open limper a lot, small pair is less likely and does he usally call re-raises after limping

with a 72% fold to cbet ratio, he def has something here and most likely is a set or flush rather than overpair imo

percival09

In Response to Re: 6-max 25NL action:

the fact he limps pre and calls raise looks like like a set to me but could also be a made flush half the pots he enters he hasn't raised tho - you need to have been at the table to know why - if he limps after an open limper a lot, small pair is less likely and does he usally call re-raises after limping with a 72% fold to cbet ratio, he def has something here and most likely is a set or flush rather than overpair imo
Posted by Codex

pretty nice analysis!

villain will surely open AJ+ and isolate limper IP, including JJ+, so an over pair was out of the question! like you said he isn't raising 50% of pots he enters, but in this situation i put him on PP or connectors! it's quite obv i'm behind imo and even if i have outs i'm not getting the right odds, just can't see how i'm ever good here, villain has never got 10X or JJ with a heart and suddenly thinks it's good because he has a draw! fwiw i folded..