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please?

spornybolspornybol Member Posts: 8,212
edited September 2011 in Brags, Beats and Variance
can someone please let me know why ???? keeps hitting
 Small blind  75.00 75.00 3000.00
adrianne1 Big blind  150.00 225.00 1325.00
 Your hole cards
  • A
  • A
   
spornybol Raise  600.00 825.00 3860.00
1All-in  2990.00 3815.00 0.00
seant Fold     
adrianne1 Fold     
spornybol Call  2390.00 6205.00 1470.00
spornybol Show
  • A
  • A
   
1 Show
  • 2
  • K
   
Flop
  
  • K
  • J
  • K
   
Turn
  
  • 5
   
River
  
  • 7
   
1 Win Three Kings 6205.00  6205.00

Comments

  • luvBWFCluvBWFC Member Posts: 763
    edited September 2011
    wow thats some nice run good
  • GoetheGoethe Member Posts: 370
    edited September 2011
    It's not that rare an occurance. I worked it out very roughly at 2%, 1/50, 49-1. My boys book of knowledge says 1.57%, 62.69-1. I did round 8/49 to 1/6*, which probably explains away the difference.

    If you play a lot, it'll happen fairly often although I'm sure you know this - especially if you play on the micros where players are content to call All-Ins with paint and rubbish, although they'd never raise the pot with the same cards.Pure kite-flying, that will pay off some of the time.

    Moral of the story is, I suppose, that you don't have to go All-In, and risk losing the lot, when you've got the best hand. Would you have shoved with your AAs after the flop had gone down - with KK on the board and after someone had called a hefty raise?


    The boring bit for anyone interested:
     (6/50) x (2/49 x 4/1)   =  (6/50) x (8/49).
    Rounded to (6/50) x (1/6)  =  6/300  =  1/50

    Good cards.

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