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[Omaha] My exit hand yesterday

Giant811Giant811 Member Posts: 613
edited September 2011 in The Poker Clinic
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
splashies Small blind  300.00 300.00 25456.25
IRISHROVER Big blind  600.00 900.00 13253.75
 Your hole cards
  • 5
  • A
  • K
  • 3
   
cobweb Call  600.00 1500.00 46887.50
RAB642 Raise  1200.00 2700.00 53368.75
Giant811 Call  1200.00 3900.00 8971.25
samalfie Call  1200.00 5100.00 24817.50
splashies Fold     
IRISHROVER Call  600.00 5700.00 12653.75
cobweb Call  600.00 6300.00 46287.50
Flop
  
  • 7
  • 6
  • 4
   
IRISHROVER Check     
cobweb Bet  6300.00 12600.00 39987.50
RAB642 Fold     
Giant811 All-in  8971.25 21571.25 0.00
samalfie All-in  24817.50 46388.75 0.00
IRISHROVER Fold     
cobweb All-in  39987.50 86376.25 0.00
cobweb Unmatched bet  21470.00 64906.25 21470.00
cobweb Show
  • 5
  • A
  • 8
  • 8
   
Giant811 Show
  • 5
  • A
  • K
  • 3
   
samalfie Show
  • 7
  • 5
  • A
  • 9
   
Turn
  
  • J
   
River
  
  • 3
   
cobweb Win Straight to the 8 64906.25
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Comments

  • Giant811Giant811 Member Posts: 613
    edited September 2011
    In hindsight I definitely should have folded. To learn from my mistake I want to go through the thought process I should have had to make that decision, and I would appreciate the input of some of the Omaha gurus to see if I'm missing something.

    - Should I have even played this hand pre-flop?
    - My hand isn't really that strong. I have a non-nut straight and my only redraw is a second nut backdoor flush. I do have a blocker to the nut straight. While I'm short-stacked, I could have still folded and have a playable stack left.
    - With the villain donk-betting pot four-way I doubt he ever has air. Even if he doesn't have the nut straight I should expect him to have at least a set with redraws or the nut flush draw, possibly with a gut shot. Are there any other hands he could turn over here?
    - Against a range of sets and NFDs my equity is 53% (assuming I'm using porpokertools correctly), including the nut straight it's only 34% heads-up.
    - I'm not closing the action, and once the second villain re-shoves my equity goes down even more.

    While I obviously couldn't do the calculations while playing all the other factors should have made this a clear fold. Agree/disagree?
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