NL50 facing river push

percival09

v.good villain -1.8K hands with villain and he plays 22/19/7
fold to 3b 55% and folds to 4b 22%

UTG folds
UTG +1 folds
CO ($67) raises to £1.50
BTN folds
HERO ($66) raises to $5 in SB with 10c10h
BB folds

CO calls

FLOP ($10.50) 6h 4h Jd

hero bets 7$, CO calls 7$

TURN ($24.50) 6h 4h Jd Js

hero checks, CO check

RIVER ($24.50) 6h 4h Jd Js 3s

hero bets $19.50, CO raises to $52.90 (AI) hero?

i don't bet the turn because although i think im ahead, i dont want to give him the opportunity to outplay me
strong bet on river to potentially induce bluff - this hand involved quite a bit of levelling aswell with our history
i don't really put villain on a J, only AJ i suppose which makes his shove EV+ - main concern is him trapping with QQ+
i think his range will include many PPs which he can turn into bluffs - or poss floating flop. obv FD maybe
i think he knows my calling range is quite tight here, which is why i include a lot of air in his pushrange
is my thought process ok?

LOL_RAISE

i think you are way over thinking it, fwiw id bet turn c/f river

if he calls 3bets 45% of the time he will have alot of Jx in his range

Brian666

hate the river bet - if u want to catch the missed flush bluff you check call
i would bet the turn to price out the draw

however once you bet 19/24 on the 5th its polarised his holding to exactly jx - full house or if he is particularly cr4p AA

easy fold but try the ch call next time

percival09

villain is v.good, he is member of teamonline pro on stars
i hate c/c on river .. hes never betting a made hand that im beating - villain is def capable of making moves and high quite high agg factors on all 3 streets, with the river been the highest slightly
i agree, his range is Jx, fh or a complete bluff ... but with him probably thinking he can make me fold a huge range thats when it becomes a bit more complex imo anyway

PiAnOpLaYa

In Response to Re: NL50 facing river push:

villain is v.good, he is member of teamonline pro on stars i hate c/c on river .. hes never betting a made hand that im beating - villain is def capable of making moves and high quite high agg factors on all 3 streets, with the river been the highest slightly i agree, his range is Jx, fh or a complete bluff ... but with him probably thinking he can make me fold a huge range thats when it becomes a bit more complex imo anyway
Posted by percival09

Can you not find more value playing someone else?