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proceed with caution!

pod1pod1 Member Posts: 4,377
edited December 2011 in The Poker Clinic
one of the trickiest hands i think i had to deal with. pretty much a decision on every street, whats the best way to play this plz?
craigieboySmall blind £0.15£0.15£28.95
SJspanky1Big blind £0.30£0.45£93.15
 Your hole cards
  • 7
  • 7
   
hipshooterRaise £0.90£1.35£26.40
pod1Call £0.90£2.25£34.31
HOLSCall £0.90£3.15£4.20
fisherkingFold    
craigieboyFold    
SJspanky1Call £0.60£3.75£92.55
Flop
  
  • 7
  • 9
  • 10
   
SJspanky1Check    
hipshooterBet £1.88£5.63£24.52
pod1Call £1.88£7.51£32.43
HOLSCall £1.88£9.39£2.32
SJspanky1Fold    
Turn
  
  • J
   
hipshooterCheck    
pod1Check    
HOLSCheck    
River
  
  • 10
   
hipshooterBet £4.70£14.09£19.82
pod1Call £4.70£18.79£27.73
HOLSAll-in £2.32£21.11£0.00
«1

Comments

  • Dudeskin8Dudeskin8 Member Posts: 6,228
    edited December 2011
    Raise flop like 100%.

    Oh and shove river.
  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH Member Posts: 17,929
    edited December 2011
    And DON'T flat river v that villain !!!!!!!!!!!!
  • pod1pod1 Member Posts: 4,377
    edited December 2011
    i dont get rid of either of these to by raisin the flop here dude. i know i want them to pay for draws but  soooo many hands here can come good. turn was only easy decision really. lol at "that villian" jj.  p7s p9s p10s and 8d slows you down surely. ok 10s prob dont play coz villian prob/def reraises pre

  • Dudeskin8Dudeskin8 Member Posts: 6,228
    edited December 2011
    i dont get rid of either of these to by raisin the flop here dude

    So you would rather give them a cheap go at hitting there card ?
  • pod1pod1 Member Posts: 4,377
    edited December 2011
    with that flop even witha set i am not fav to win this hand , cant see why i should put any more money in here. i am not betting for value and unless i shove i cant protect against these 2.
  • Dudeskin8Dudeskin8 Member Posts: 6,228
    edited December 2011
    He's raised 3x pre then made a cbet and you have bottom set on a wet board, please tell me why this is ever NOT a 100% raise, I'm awfully confused.....
  • pod1pod1 Member Posts: 4,377
    edited December 2011
    any non diamond hand folds, any better hand reraises and any good draw calls

  • Dudeskin8Dudeskin8 Member Posts: 6,228
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: proceed with caution!:
    any non diamond hand folds, any better hand reraises and any good draw calls
    Posted by pod1
    This must be a level but really?
  • grantorinograntorino Member Posts: 4,710
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: proceed with caution!:
    with that flop even witha set i am not fav to win this hand , cant see why i should put any more money in here. i am not betting for value and unless i shove i cant protect against these 2.
    Posted by pod1
    Dont see how you if you cant raise to protect that you cant bet for value

    I wouldnt be fistpumping about getting it in on that flop, but I think you prob should get it in
  • pod1pod1 Member Posts: 4,377
    edited December 2011
    does a str draw flush draw and str flush draw make it _ev?
  • pod1pod1 Member Posts: 4,377
    edited December 2011
    the poker calc i just put this hand in gave me a 33% chance of winning this hand after the flo[p

  • pod1pod1 Member Posts: 4,377
    edited December 2011
    the poker calc i just put this into only gave me a 35% chance of winning this hand after the flop, is this right??? if so should i bet again?

  • pod1pod1 Member Posts: 4,377
    edited December 2011
    Number of Players   2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10     Help Disclaimer

    Select cards to place on the table

                              
                              




    Hand Types for Players and Winning Hands

    Hand Types for Players When That Player Has a Win or a Tie

    % Equity For Players When That Player Has a Given Hand Type


    Hand Types for Players and Winning Hands


    • Player 1
    • Random Hands
    • Winning Hand
    061218243036424854600
    High CardPair2 Pair3 KindStr8FlushFull H.QuadsSr8 Flush
    Hand TypePlayer 1Players With Random HandsWinning Hand
    High Card0.00%16.31%0.00%
    Pair0.00%34.59%0.00%
    Two Pair0.00%13.98%0.00%
    Three of a Kind59.60%2.79%8.07%
    Straight2.79%12.04%15.94%
    Flush3.89%18.25%36.58%
    Full House29.11%0.91%26.99%
    Four of a Kind4.43%0.05%4.66%
    Straight Flush (or Royal)0.17%1.08%7.76%


    Hand Types for Players When That Player Has a Win or a Tie


    • Player 1
    • Random Hands
    • Winning Hand
    071421283542495663700
    High CardPair2 Pair3 KindStr8FlushFull H.QuadsSr8 Flush
    Hand TypePlayer 1Players With Random HandsWinning Hand
    High Card0.00%0.00%0.00%
    Pair0.00%0.00%0.00%
    Two Pair0.00%0.00%0.00%
    Three of a Kind21.72%0.84%8.07%
    Straight0.35%31.24%15.94%
    Flush0.71%49.66%36.58%
    Full House64.70%6.70%26.99%
    Four of a Kind12.26%0.61%4.66%
    Straight Flush (or Royal)0.27%10.95%7.76%


    % Equity For Players When That Player Has a Given Hand Type


    Here we present %equity for players when that player observes a given hand type. %Equity is basically %win with %tie divided between the number of players splitting the pot. The data in this section should be considered a rough approximation only. To understand the reason for this it is useful to consider how many rounds are being dealt in the simulation. The number of rounds where a given player has, for example a full house is much less than the number of rounds dealt in the whole simulation. With less rounds dealt, the number estimated from these rounds will be less accurate. This is particularly the case for hand types that have a low percentage chance of occurring. While understanding that these numbers should be treated as rough approximations, we do however believe this is some useful data to be looking at, so enjoy.


    • Player 1
    • Random Hands
    • All Players
    01020304050607080901000
    High CardPair2 Pair3 KindStr8FlushFull H.QuadsSr8 Flush
    Hand TypePlayer 1Players With Random HandsAll Players
    High Card--0.00%0.00%
    Pair--0.00%0.00%
    Two Pair--0.00%0.00%
    Three of a Kind12.45%2.61%7.95%
    Straight0.42%14.71%14.52%
    Flush0.62%22.25%22.00%
    Full House75.88%59.53%69.98%
    Four of a Kind94.45%96.33%94.79%
    Straight Flush (or Royal)5.48%79.80%79.16%


    Player 1
    Player 2
    Player 3
    Player 10
    Player 4

    Flop
    Turn
    River
    Player 9
    Player 5
    Player 8
    Player 7
    Player 6
    PlayerStatisticResult
    Player 1%Win33.69%
    %Tie0.47%
    Odds1.96 to 1
    Random
    Hands
    %Win6.65%
    %Tie1.97%
    Odds12.58 to 1

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  • grantorinograntorino Member Posts: 4,710
    edited December 2011
    what range are you getting 35% against, I cant understand your last few posts
  • rancidrancid Member Posts: 5,945
    edited December 2011
    Simply raise flop to get it in and for protection
    Who cares if they call or fold, if you think your ahead then bet

    Can't see how we play it any other way
  • YOUNG_GUNYOUNG_GUN Member Posts: 8,948
    edited December 2011
    how do u not raise river!!!
  • pod1pod1 Member Posts: 4,377
    edited December 2011
    sorry its been long getting back on this started work at 4 am and just got in now ,i agree the river should have been raised agree 100%. but im still not convinced on post flop play(am willing to be convinced mind). do i think im ahead on the flop, yes rancid i do but i dont think im fav to win the hand though. whats wrong with flatting here. maybe/probably my mind set is wrong  but when your caught between betting to protect and betting for value its better to air on the side of caution. like i say there's plenty of weaker hands i get to fold by reraising i dont want that. what is wrong with going down the streets and playing poker? like i say am willing to be convinced. phil

  • Dudeskin8Dudeskin8 Member Posts: 6,228
    edited December 2011
    Only reason I can favom for not raising flop would be playing with scared money (not wanting to get it in) but you clearly aren't so it's purely just bad play imo. 
  • pod1pod1 Member Posts: 4,377
    edited December 2011
    still not convincing me dude lol. had he jammed and i folded then i agree dude with the second part of your statement. like i say im waiting for the maths?

  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH Member Posts: 17,929
    edited December 2011
    What was the result Poddington?
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