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Flopped set no good, how to proceed?

WilhelmWilhelm Member Posts: 1,730
edited April 2012 in The Poker Clinic
I imagine most people will hate my fold here, but I am convinced it is correct.  My question is whether it is better to bet/fold the turn or check/call?

Hand History #510271826 (18:22 24/04/2012)

PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
itsallme Small blind  £0.02 £0.02 £5.46
VAGABON Big blind  £0.04 £0.06 £6.98
  Your hole cards
  • 6
  • 6
     
kisss Call  £0.04 £0.10 £2.36
Wilhelm Call  £0.04 £0.14 £3.96
GLDLADYLUC Call  £0.04 £0.18 £2.18
sooty528 Call  £0.04 £0.22 £1.96
Fonzy180 Fold     
spatulaq Fold     
itsallme Call  £0.02 £0.24 £5.44
VAGABON Check     
Flop
   
  • Q
  • 6
  • J
     
itsallme Check     
VAGABON Check     
kisss Bet  £0.04 £0.28 £2.32
Wilhelm Raise  £0.28 £0.56 £3.68
GLDLADYLUC Call  £0.28 £0.84 £1.90
sooty528 Call  £0.28 £1.12 £1.68
itsallme Fold     
VAGABON Fold     
kisss Fold     
Turn
   
  • 3
     
Wilhelm Bet  £0.56 £1.68 £3.12
GLDLADYLUC Call  £0.56 £2.24 £1.34
sooty528 Raise  £1.12 £3.36 £0.56
Wilhelm Fold     
      
          
      
      
      
      
      
      

Comments

  • WilhelmWilhelm Member Posts: 1,730
    edited April 2012
    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    itsallme Small blind  £0.02 £0.02 £5.46
    VAGABON Big blind  £0.04 £0.06 £6.98
      Your hole cards
    • 6
    • 6
         
    kisss Call  £0.04 £0.10 £2.36
    Wilhelm Call  £0.04 £0.14 £3.96
    GLDLADYLUC Call  £0.04 £0.18 £2.18
    sooty528 Call  £0.04 £0.22 £1.96
    Fonzy180 Fold     
    spatulaq Fold     
    itsallme Call  £0.02 £0.24 £5.44
    VAGABON Check     
    Flop
       
    • Q
    • 6
    • J
         
    itsallme Check     
    VAGABON Check     
    kisss Bet  £0.04 £0.28 £2.32
    Wilhelm Raise  £0.28 £0.56 £3.68
    GLDLADYLUC Call  £0.28 £0.84 £1.90
    sooty528 Call  £0.28 £1.12 £1.68
    itsallme Fold     
    VAGABON Fold     
    kisss Fold     
    Turn
       
    • 3
         
    Wilhelm Bet  £0.56 £1.68 £3.12
    GLDLADYLUC Call  £0.56 £2.24 £1.34
    sooty528 Raise  £1.12 £3.36 £0.56
    Wilhelm Fold    
  • BorinLonerBorinLoner Member Posts: 3,863
    edited April 2012
    Mathematically it's not correct to fold here. The pot odds are giving you 6/1 and you're better than 4/1 to pair the board on the river. The only issue is what GLDLADYLUC might do behind you... but that shouldn't deter you as they don't have enough behind to cause a problem.
  • WilhelmWilhelm Member Posts: 1,730
    edited April 2012
    In Response to Re: Flopped set no good, how to proceed?:
    Mathematically it's not correct to fold here. The pot odds are giving you 6/1 and you're better than 4/1 to pair the board on the river. The only issue is what GLDLADYLUC might do behind you... but that shouldn't deter you as they don't have enough behind to cause a problem.
    Posted by BorinLoner
    I got the maths completely wrong...  I need to go to bed...

    Luckily the river blanked anyway.
  • Lambert180Lambert180 Member Posts: 12,197
    edited April 2012
    Yeah I was gonna say that you've got the odds to try and hit the FH. I also think you can really go for it and overbet the pot by a good bit more on the flop on such a wet board. At this level, if someone's calling 28p then they won't think twice about calling 40-50p
  • Dudeskin8Dudeskin8 Member Posts: 6,228
    edited April 2012
    Bet much more on turn, at least one english pound, and don't fold.
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