DYM What would you do in this spot?

JAM888

Hand History #529352215 (17:16 09/06/2012)PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalancedaphne56Small blind 15.0015.002090.00VeronabBig blind 30.0045.001880.00 Your hole cardsJJ   nelson2012Fold    vander2Call 30.0075.002030.00JAM888Raise 90.00165.002085.00deelennondFold    daphne56Fold    VeronabAll-in 1880.002045.000.00      

No Solid reads- limper was loose passive, shover was more tagish.  Will post the rest in a few hours, my thought process- raise iso the limper, veronabs jam seemed weird like a scared ak weak pair maybe, but mostly felt a lot off his range was a bluff, also thought he may of read the iso play from me and thought a shove would get through, my instincs were to call  , but my strategy overall is fold, any thoughts welcomedMy question is - should i follow my strategy or instincs?

JohnConnor

Fold

Lambert180

Firstly, in this spot, you should post it in the clinic lol.

I can't see the stacks or anything but it looks early. Assuming you are all on starting stacks give or take 200 chips,  it's an instant fold I think. The majority of the time, you're gonna be miles behind or flipping.

Flipping early is bad in DYMs because even if you're on the good side, you only gonna win about 54% of the time, and even then that's not a guaranteed cash.

So 46% you're out and don't cash, and some of the 54% where you do win, you'll still go out later and not cash.

JAM888

In Response to Re: DYM What would you do in this spot?:

Firstly, in this spot, you should post it in the clinic lol. I can't see the stacks or anything but it looks early. Assuming you are all on starting stacks give or take 200 chips,  it's an instant fold I think. The majority of the time, you're gonna be miles behind or flipping. Flipping early is bad in DYMs because even if you're on the good side, you only gonna win about 54% of the time, and even then that's not a guaranteed cash. So 46% you're out and don't cash, and some of the 54% where you do win, you'll still go out later and not cash.
Posted by Lambert180

thx will do next time, this is level 2 blinds 30, stacks are close to starting stacks around 2000, 

EvilPingu

It's a DYM, which makes this a fold IMO. Anything else I'm snap calling.

If your read is that he has AK most of the time here, then only call AA and KK in a DYM, even QQ is a fold because racing in a DYM is bad. 

You said the shover is TAG. Will a TAG player ever 3bet shove AJ-, TT- like this? You also said that you think a lot of his range here is a bluff - If that's the case, then I'd reassess what you said about him being TAG.