Hand History #529352215 (17:16 09/06/2012)PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalancedaphne56Small blind 15.0015.002090.00VeronabBig blind 30.0045.001880.00 Your hole cardsJJ nelson2012Fold vander2Call 30.0075.002030.00JAM888Raise 90.00165.002085.00deelennondFold daphne56Fold VeronabAll-in 1880.002045.000.00
No Solid reads- limper was loose passive, shover was more tagish. Will post the rest in a few hours, my thought process- raise iso the limper, veronabs jam seemed weird like a scared ak weak pair maybe, but mostly felt a lot off his range was a bluff, also thought he may of read the iso play from me and thought a shove would get through, my instincs were to call , but my strategy overall is fold, any thoughts welcomedMy question is - should i follow my strategy or instincs?
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Comments
I can't see the stacks or anything but it looks early. Assuming you are all on starting stacks give or take 200 chips, it's an instant fold I think. The majority of the time, you're gonna be miles behind or flipping.
Flipping early is bad in DYMs because even if you're on the good side, you only gonna win about 54% of the time, and even then that's not a guaranteed cash.
So 46% you're out and don't cash, and some of the 54% where you do win, you'll still go out later and not cash.
Does a TAG player ever shove AJ-, TT- like this? Probably not. Racing in DYMs is setting fire to money, and being dominated by overpairs is setting fire to money in any game, lol.
Also, you said you think a lot of his range here is a bluff? If that's the case, then I'd be changing that note that says "TAG", lol.
far too early to gamble in a dym