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looks so bluffy

jams88jams88 Member Posts: 694
edited July 2012 in The Poker Clinic
what do we think have to fold here even though its liekly a bluff?
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
fotini Small blind   £0.10 £0.10 £7.42
bomberav01 Big blind   £0.20 £0.30 £40.03
  Your hole cards
  • 9
  • 9
     
jams88 Raise   £0.60 £0.90 £36.49
westslay23 Fold        
ViaminJay Fold        
ska Fold        
fotini Fold        
bomberav01 Call   £0.40 £1.30 £39.63
Flop
   
  • 5
  • 3
  • 7
     
bomberav01 Bet   £0.20 £1.50 £39.43
jams88 Raise   £1.05 £2.55 £35.44
bomberav01 Call   £0.85 £3.40 £38.58
Turn
   
  • K
     
bomberav01 Check        
jams88 Bet   £2.20 £5.60 £33.24
bomberav01 Call   £2.20 £7.80 £36.38
River
   
  • 3
     
bomberav01 Bet   £7.80 £15.60 £28.58
jams88 Fold        
bomberav01 Muck        
bomberav01 Win   £7.41   £35.99
bomberav01 Return   £7.80 £0.39 £43.79

Comments

  • Lambert180Lambert180 Member Posts: 12,197
    edited July 2012
    Played well, I think you have to fold river.
  • jugglegeekjugglegeek Member Posts: 623
    edited July 2012
    If it were NL4 then I would say that the villian has a 3. Call from the big blind and then SMDL (Sky min donk lead) on dry flop, check call turn and then massive bet on river for value. This being NL20 there may be a chance that he's trying to bluff you off the hand but it just looks so random... why would he play the flop like that if his plan was to bluff you off the hand?
  • jams88jams88 Member Posts: 694
    edited July 2012
    how is he calling the turn with a 3 in his hand though? 34 over attached to a gutshot to maybe couldnt decide whether this was a good fold or a bad one haha but i don't suppose i, really beating that much.

  • WHOAMI196WHOAMI196 Member Posts: 1,170
    edited July 2012
    what would he bluff though on this runout?, Assuming he is a fish he may bet hands that's missed like A2, 68, 69, 89 although the last one is unlikely every other hand the villain could have he would have s/d value with. Hands like 66, 78, a7 etc; so its unlikely he would turn them into a bluff.

    In this spot he has a 3 a lot of the time 3s like A3, 34s etc, so a fold is prob correct, but because you have given ZERO info, and the lack of reasoning on why you think its likely a bluff its almost impossible to say, i mean vs some guys its an inst-fold.....but tbh its rarely a snap call, more of a hero call, i like checking the turn vs bad oppos btw.


  • jams88jams88 Member Posts: 694
    edited July 2012
    tbh can't remember what reads i had at the time as was played last night. It was his line that confused me you usually see this c/c c/c pot bet lead by a player chasing flush or straight or repping a flush or straight made on the river. which made me think he had/repping the 3. I couldnt think of many hands with a 3 in that are still in at this point presuming a 2 pair would be happy to riase earlier  or check riase rather than lead, making me think it was a bluff
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